Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Demons

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Demon City Builder?

City Builder + Demons

Only 12 developers shipped a Demon City Builder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Worshippers of Cthulhu, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $13k, ×21 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $970k, ×1558 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 16 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 21.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Demons
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $290k → $3.0k → $19k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Demons: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Median $13k (exactly $13,486)
Top 25% $100k (exactly $100,153)
Top 5% $978k (exactly $978,358)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 26
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Demons
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 2,280 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.0k, median $13k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $970k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.0k. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dungeons 4 older $49.99 2,392 86% 72k $3.6M (exactly $3,587,282) Realmforge Studios
Worshippers of Cthulhu $24.99 1,305 80% 39k $978k (exactly $978,358) Crazy Goat Games
Night is Coming · EA $24.99 387 59% 12k $290k (exactly $290,134) Wild Forest Studio
Hell Architect older $24.99 356 65% 11k $267k (exactly $266,893) Woodland Games
Nadir: A Grimdark Deckbuilder older $19.99 244 61% 7.3k $146k (exactly $146,327) Black Eye Games
Exodus Borealis older $19.99 243 91% 7.3k $146k (exactly $145,727) Smug Marmot Studios
Demon Castle Story $12.99 257 77% 7.7k $100k (exactly $100,153) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
ArkCraft: The Rebirth of the World $10.99 181 71% 5.4k $60k (exactly $59,676) ZD Yazilim
希望之城 The City Of Hope older $6.99 126 68% 3.8k $26k (exactly $26,422) 家里蹲工作室
Fortifend $15.99 39 89% 1.2k $19k (exactly $18,708) Side Crumb
Flocking Hell $9.99 45 93% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) Sextant Studios
The HELL · EA $9.99 30 73% 900 $9.0k (exactly $8,991) METROPOLICE
Monolilith · EA $7.99 17 88% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Malerouille
SOUL PARK $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) CLEDU
Hell Builder $4.99 9 88% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Cuddle Code

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.