Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Cooking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cooking City Builder?

City Builder + Cooking

Of 25 developers who shipped a Cooking City Builder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×243 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 42 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 42 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Cooking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $86k → $280k → $1.4k → $49k → $1.7k → $9.6k → $1.3k (still earning) → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Cooking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,704)
Top 25% $27k (exactly $26,978)
Top 5% $153k (exactly $152,513)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 49
Announced 42
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Cooking; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Simulation, Building
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Cute, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,060 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Crossroads Inn Anniversary Edition older $14.99 3,579 55% 107k $1.6M (exactly $1,609,476) Klabater
Critter Cove · EA older $24.99 1,735 94% 52k $1.3M (exactly $1,300,730) Gentleman Rat Studios
Sword and Fairy Inn 2 older $19.99 2,013 49% 60k $1.2M (exactly $1,207,196) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Slow living with Princess older $19.99 580 87% 17k $348k (exactly $347,826) KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE.
Doraemon Dorayaki Shop Story $19.99 468 98% 14k $281k (exactly $280,660) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Love Tavern older $11.99 778 73% 23k $280k (exactly $279,847) Secret Labo
Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) · EA older $23.99 267 72% 8.0k $192k (exactly $192,160) Happy Daram Inc.
Creator Chronicles $11.99 424 64% 13k $153k (exactly $152,513) Origin Studio
Cafe Master Story older $12.99 378 96% 11k $147k (exactly $147,307) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Midori no Kaori $9.99 464 94% 14k $139k (exactly $139,061) TheLaba
Feastopia $13.99 211 77% 6.3k $89k (exactly $88,557) White Star Studio
BM Love Cafe $7.99 204 77% 6.1k $49k (exactly $48,899) zzzgame
Service Please · EA $11.99 94 78% 2.8k $34k (exactly $33,812) Dynamic Dice
Node Farm $11.99 75 81% 2.3k $27k (exactly $26,978) ByerN
The Road To Harvest: Food From Across The Ocean $5.99 75 76% 2.3k $13k (exactly $13,478) MuccyGames
The Diner at the End of the Galaxy · EA $9.99 32 59% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) General Interactive Co.
Proto Garden $14.99 13 100% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) arreyne

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.