Do I ship it?

GamesHack and SlashHack and Slash + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Hack and Slash game?

Hack and Slash + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 17 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Hack and Slash game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Blades of Fire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $620k, ×999 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 55 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 55 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hack and Slash + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $11k → $2.0k → $4.9k → $299 → $4.2k (still earning) → $27k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hack and Slash + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $18,708)
Top 5% $627k (exactly $627,443)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 85
Announced 55
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hack and Slash
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Hack and Slash, Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RPG, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 1,183 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $620k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hack and Slash with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Turn-BasedStrong odds8 devs · median $14k · 1 announced
  2. + Turn-Based CombatStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + VampiresFair32 devs · median $7.2k · 37 announced
  4. + ModernFair13 devs · median $7.2k · 20 announced
  5. + IdlerFair32 devs · median $6.4k · 50 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair40 devs · median $1.7k · 57 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds11 devs · median $119k · 25 announced
  8. + Visual NovelPoor odds11 devs · median $85k · 22 announced
  9. + Character Action GamePoor odds27 devs · median $58k · 80 announced
  10. + DestructionPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $33k · 20 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds12 devs · median $21k · 26 announced

All 175 pairs on the Hack and Slash page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal older $19.99 190,184 56% 5.7M $114M (exactly $114,053,345) 鬼谷工作室
Hand of Fate older $19.99 8,009 89% 240k $4.8M (exactly $4,802,997) Defiant Development
Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2 older $19.99 7,206 84% 216k $4.3M (exactly $4,321,438) Brilliant Game Studios
Way of the Samurai 4 older $24.99 1,939 76% 58k $1.5M (exactly $1,453,668) ACQUIRE Corp.
Blades of Fire $39.99 523 74% 16k $627k (exactly $627,443) MercurySteam
Way of the Samurai 3 older $19.99 871 73% 26k $522k (exactly $522,339) ACQUIRE Corp.
There Is No Light: Enhanced Edition older $19.99 625 72% 19k $375k (exactly $374,812) Zelart
Anima: Gate of Memories older $19.99 580 70% 17k $348k (exactly $347,826) Anima Project
That Time I Got Reincarnated as a Demon Hand $9.99 375 84% 11k $112k (exactly $112,388) Tora Creatives
Rabbit Hole older $7.99 264 78% 7.9k $63k (exactly $63,281) Nikita Ustinov, Nikolay Lazarev
Deliria $9.99 136 61% 4.1k $41k (exactly $40,759) Linesway
Ragnar $14.99 61 83% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Fimbulwinter Games
Willow Guard $15.99 39 89% 1.2k $19k (exactly $18,708) MiTale
Ancient the Dimensions · EA $14.99 11 9% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) HEADSTONE STUDIO
Red Rampant: Chapter 1 $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Eclectic Synthesis Limited, Red Rampant… (Eclectic Synthesis Limited, Red Rampant Studios)
Mikoshi: The Lost Crystals $5.99 11 90% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) DremGames
Assassin Of Goblin $3.99 12 66% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Saylor Games
Golden Escape $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) GaniTani

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.