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Should I ship a Choices Matter Vehicular Combat game?
Vehicular Combat + Choices Matter
Only 14 developers shipped a Choices Matter Vehicular Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Periapsis: Eclipse, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $23k, ×38 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 47 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $597 (exactly $597) |
| Top 25% | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) |
| Top 5% | $24k (exactly $23,834) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 47 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Vehicular Combat
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Vehicular Combat, Choices Matter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Combat
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 8 games average 85% positive over 133 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Vehicular Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Looter ShooterFair
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Real Time TacticsPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
Comparable games
Titan Attacks! 2012 · $196k 
B-17 Flying Fortress : The Mighty 8th Redux 2024 · EA · $153k 
Gearshifters 2021 · $64k 
Tank Universal 2008 · $50k 
Boiling Point: Road to Hell 2023 · $38k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Titan Attacks! | older | $9.99 | 654 92% | 20k | $196k (exactly $196,004) | Puppygames |
| | B-17 Flying Fortress : The Mighty 8th Redux | · EA older | $14.99 | 341 65% | 10k | $153k (exactly $153,348) | MicroProse Software |
| | Gearshifters | older | $24.99 | 85 80% | 2.6k | $64k (exactly $63,724) | Red Phantom Games |
| | Tank Universal | older | $4.99 | 334 61% | 10k | $50k (exactly $50,000) | Dialogue Design |
| | Boiling Point: Road to Hell | older | $9.99 | 127 72% | 3.8k | $38k (exactly $38,062) | Deep Shadows |
 | Periapsis: Eclipse | · EA | $14.99 | 53 71% | 1.6k | $24k (exactly $23,834) | Skytrellis Games |
 | Wasteland Angel | older | $4.99 | 135 56% | 4.1k | $20k (exactly $20,210) | Octane Games |
 | B-17 Flying Fortress: World War II Bombers in Action | older | $8.99 | 21 76% | 630 | $5.7k (exactly $5,664) | Vektor Grafix |
 | Into the M.A.W. | $14.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $4.9k (exactly $4,947) | Moonrise Studios | |
 | Draw the Road | older | $4.99 | 32 87% | 960 | $4.8k (exactly $4,790) | · |
 | Gears of Glory | $5.99 | 23 100% | 690 | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) | Broken Tooth Studios | |
 | Starbug Troopers : The 4 horseflies of the apocalypse | $8.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $3.5k (exactly $3,506) | Big Loot Games | |
 | ULTIMATE ARMORED TURBODRIFTER ~ SaGa Chapter 2 ~【TANK AUTHORITY WOLFRAM】 | $4.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | The Dark Union | |
 | Alastrius: Star-Fighter | $11.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | Caledonia Interactive | |
 | Lawnmower game Ufo Chase 2 | $1.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $597 (exactly $597) | Valkeala Software | |
 | Upstream | $1.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $239 (exactly $239) | Icarus | |
 | Fathoms | · EA | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Bloop |
 | Imperfections | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Niki Development |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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