Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + Cats

Of 34 developers who shipped a Cat Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $810; 1 in 20 cleared $93k, ×198 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 38 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 38 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $12k → $3.4k → $809 → $1.4k → $1.2k (still earning) → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $809 (exactly $809)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 25% $7.5k (exactly $7,485)
Top 5% $94k (exactly $93,882)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 75
Announced 38
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Simulation
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Story Rich, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,692 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $810, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $7.4k, 1 in 20 over $93k.

3 in 10 developers made under $810. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Copycat $14.99 4,611 89% 138k $2.1M (exactly $2,073,567) Spoonful Of Wonder
Tales of the Neon Sea older $16.99 3,853 84% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,963,874) YiTi Games
Sushi Ben $11.99 261 82% 7.8k $94k (exactly $93,882) Big Brane Studios, Inc.
Nemezis: Mysterious Journey III older $19.99 129 61% 3.9k $77k (exactly $77,361) Detalion Games S.A.
Cat Detective Albert Wilde $11.99 121 93% 3.6k $44k (exactly $43,524) beyondthosehills
Cat Island Petrichor $14.99 87 70% 2.6k $39k (exactly $39,124) LuminousNote
Depanneur Nocturne older $4.99 236 96% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,329) KO_OP
Internet Cafe Owner older $5.99 148 72% 4.4k $27k (exactly $26,596) GidAzGames
Garage Sale older $6.99 103 98% 3.1k $22k (exactly $21,599) Bug Burrow
Save Twiks older $4.99 125 61% 3.8k $19k (exactly $18,712) REVVALUTION Studio
Short Trip $1.99 280 98% 8.4k $17k (exactly $16,716) Alexander Perrin
Party on Hallow Grove $9.99 47 100% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) vaaasm
T.W.I.R.L. $5.99 69 84% 2.1k $12k (exactly $12,399) Genie Boy Games
Soba's Gunpaw $2.99 130 93% 3.9k $12k (exactly $11,661) Evrac Studio
MUBOSAMA $4.99 50 90% 1.5k $7.5k (exactly $7,485) LuuuLuuuL
I Hear Them $6.25 36 86% 1.1k $6.8k (exactly $6,750) Strange Presence

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.