Do I ship it?

GamesRhythmRhythm + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Rhythm game?

Rhythm + Cats

Of 24 developers who shipped a Cat Rhythm game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $74k, ×158 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 26 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 26 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Rhythm + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.9k → $2.2k → $269 → $2.1k → $2.5k → $299 → $802 (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Rhythm + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $297 (exactly $297)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,433)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,794)
Top 5% $75k (exactly $74,892)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 51
Announced 26
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Rhythm
effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Rhythm; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Score Attack, Arcade
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Comedy, Cute, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 2,231 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $74k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Rhythm with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureStrong odds23 devs · median $3.3k · 18 announced
  2. + Third-Person ShooterStrong odds6 devs · median $3.3k · 6 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair38 devs · median $18k · 52 announced
  4. + ModernFair15 devs · median $13k · 15 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceFair8 devs · median $7.8k · 13 announced
  6. + LGBTQ+Fair23 devs · median $7.2k · 26 announced
  7. + ManagementFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upFair17 devs · median $4.5k · 15 announced
  9. + Dating SimFair21 devs · median $3.1k · 17 announced
  10. + Choices MatterFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  11. + SimulationFair114 devs · median $980 · 100 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced

All 110 pairs on the Rhythm page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bits & Bops $15.99 1,799 91% 54k $863k (exactly $862,980) Tempo Lab Games
SpunkStock: Music Festival older $14.99 406 95% 12k $183k (exactly $182,578) RegulusNSFW
PROJEKT GODHAND $15.80 158 96% 4.7k $75k (exactly $74,892) Anarch Entertainment
Trombone Champ: Unflattened $19.99 88 97% 2.6k $53k (exactly $52,774) Flat2VR Studios, Holy Wow Studios LLC
El Tango de la Muerte older $4.99 292 96% 8.8k $44k (exactly $43,712) Hernán Smicht, YIRA::
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
In Her Eyes older $9.99 54 77% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) NotDeadLuna Studio
Fech The Ferret · EA older $24.99 19 78% 570 $14k (exactly $14,244) aucritas
Meowingtons Simulator $5.99 48 95% 1.4k $8.6k (exactly $8,626) Oberha5li Studios
Phonk Cats older $1.99 82 90% 2.5k $4.9k (exactly $4,895) Soulwarmers Games
Melody Friends $7.99 20 100% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) WINE GL
BassBlock $9.99 15 86% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) 贝斯方块工作室
Chowdown Kitty $2.99 35 74% 1.1k $3.1k (exactly $3,140) Lunar Peace
60 BPM $6.99 12 75% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) SPEC Studio
Legend of Shawy Cat: Mafia Prepack $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) 86岁按时吃饭

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.