Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Card Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Battler Management game?

Management + Card Battler

Of 81 developers who shipped a Card Battler Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 106 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×497 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 106 games are announced against 51 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 106 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Card Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 81
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $64k → $13k → $3.6k → $1.9k → $3.0k → $1.1k (still earning) → $2.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Card Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 81
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,918)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $22,178)
Top 5% $312k (exactly $312,092)
Developers, 2 yr 81
Released games 129
Announced 106
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management, Card Battler; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Simulation
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 7,543 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 106 games are announced against 51 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stacklands older $7.99 29,244 96% 877k $7.0M (exactly $7,009,787) Sokpop Collective
Esports Godfather older $19.99 4,319 90% 130k $2.6M (exactly $2,590,104) Asteroid Game Studio
Banners of Ruin older $19.99 2,298 79% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,378,111) MonteBearo
Cardboard Town older $19.99 2,051 79% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,229,985) Stratera Games, cukuto
Out of the Park Baseball 26 $49.99 819 82% 25k $1.2M (exactly $1,228,254) Out of the Park Developments
Tower Tactics: Liberation older $19.99 1,224 88% 37k $734k (exactly $734,033) asraworks
Card Shop Simulator Multiplayer $11.99 1,609 82% 48k $579k (exactly $578,757) ShaneGame
Cat God Ranch older $9.99 1,831 92% 55k $549k (exactly $548,751) CrazyPotato Studio
Knightica $14.99 1,136 74% 34k $511k (exactly $510,859) Mad Mango Games
Combolands: Roguelike Citybuilder $9.99 1,244 97% 37k $373k (exactly $372,827) Crux Games
Card Cultivation $14.99 694 70% 21k $312k (exactly $312,092) DarkIndex
Rogue Voltage $15.99 593 92% 18k $284k (exactly $284,462) Horizont Computergrafik
NUTMEG! A Nostalgic Deckbuilding Football Manager $24.99 378 89% 11k $283k (exactly $283,387) Sumo Digital, Sumo Digital Academy
Turnbound $14.99 446 78% 13k $201k (exactly $200,566) 1TK
Rogue Hex $19.99 260 89% 7.8k $156k (exactly $155,922) Topstitch Games
Stackmon $13.99 364 75% 11k $153k (exactly $152,771) Riftpoint Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.