Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Card Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Battler City Builder?

City Builder + Card Battler

Only 16 developers shipped a Card Battler City Builder in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deck of Haunts, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.2k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $720k, ×1152 the market median. Revenue is up 525% on the market; 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 525% on the market, 28 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Card Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.3k → $38k → $71k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Card Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $718 (exactly $718)
Median $8.2k (exactly $8,247)
Top 25% $140k (exactly $139,870)
Top 5% $723k (exactly $723,238)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 47
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 525% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Card Battler
Price point
$10.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,836 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $8.2k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $720k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stacklands older $7.99 29,244 96% 877k $7.0M (exactly $7,009,787) Sokpop Collective
Ratropolis older $17.99 5,187 87% 156k $2.8M (exactly $2,799,424) Cassel Games
Cardboard Town older $19.99 2,051 79% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,229,985) Stratera Games, cukuto
Deck of Haunts $19.99 1,206 84% 36k $723k (exactly $723,238) Mantis
Combolands: Roguelike Citybuilder $9.99 1,244 97% 37k $373k (exactly $372,827) Crux Games
Blood Rage: Digital Edition older $19.99 477 58% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) Endava
Rogue Hex $19.99 260 89% 7.8k $156k (exactly $155,922) Topstitch Games
Nadir: A Grimdark Deckbuilder older $19.99 244 61% 7.3k $146k (exactly $146,327) Black Eye Games
Berserk B.I.T.S $6.99 667 81% 20k $140k (exactly $139,870) BerserkBoy Games
富甲天下4 older $9.99 385 73% 12k $115k (exactly $115,384) T-Time Technology CO., LTD.
Worlds Upon The Wind $9.99 238 99% 7.1k $71k (exactly $71,329) Max Shawabkeh
Aurora Defense · EA $12.99 98 60% 2.9k $38k (exactly $38,191) Moka Games
Paper Kingdom $12.99 65 61% 2.0k $25k (exactly $25,330) obece
Wild Country $24.99 11 54% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Lost Native
Seekers of Eclipse $10.99 22 86% 660 $7.3k (exactly $7,253) ThinKING Cat Games
CrafTAE $7.99 25 88% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) mappe

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.