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Should I ship a Capitalist Walking Simulator?
Walking Simulator + Capitalism
Of 21 developers who shipped a Capitalist Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $810; 1 in 20 cleared $85k, ×180 the market median. Revenue is up 65% on the market; 27 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $802 (exactly $802) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) |
| Top 25% | $4.5k (exactly $4,497) |
| Top 5% | $85k (exactly $85,329) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 21 |
| Released games | 62 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 65% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Capitalism
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Walking Simulator; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Economy, Exploration, Immersive Sim
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,159 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $810. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WarFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + MusicFair
- + SupernaturalFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + NoirFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | King of Retail | older | $25.99 | 2,982 88% | 89k | $2.3M (exactly $2,325,065) | Freaking Games |
| | NUTS | older | $24.99 | 884 88% | 27k | $663k (exactly $662,735) | Joon, Pol, Muutsch, Char & Torfi |
| | Stick RPG 2: Director's Cut | older | $19.99 | 957 86% | 29k | $574k (exactly $573,913) | XGen Studios |
| | Broken Reality 2000 | $14.99 | 371 76% | 11k | $167k (exactly $166,839) | Dynamic Media Triad | |
| | Super Life (RPG) | older | $9.99 | 534 90% | 16k | $160k (exactly $160,040) | Klick Ink L.P. |
| | Forest Hustle | $4.99 | 570 90% | 17k | $85k (exactly $85,329) | Mike Forest | |
| | Furry Feet | older | $2.99 | 789 84% | 24k | $71k (exactly $70,773) | bhungry |
| | Regular Factory: Escape Room | older | $9.99 | 210 91% | 6.3k | $63k (exactly $62,937) | mc2games |
| | Escape From Lavender Island | older | $9.99 | 197 98% | 5.9k | $59k (exactly $59,041) | Jeremy Couillard, Chris Parrello |
| | NiGHT SIGNAL | older | $9.99 | 93 80% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,872) | Night Signal Entertainment |
| | Biztopia | · EA | $7.99 | 105 68% | 3.2k | $25k (exactly $25,168) | Lymo Games |
| | Record Shop Simulator | $8.99 | 40 70% | 1.2k | $11k (exactly $10,788) | Octane Owl | |
| | Space Supermarket Simulator | $9.99 | 16 75% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | Mythforge Games | |
| | Roman Sands RE:Build | $14.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $4.5k (exactly $4,497) | Arbitrary Metric | |
| | Denbora | $19.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | Bionic Ape | |
| | Lobsterpunk | $9.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Carter Diaz de Leon | |
| | Condemned to Clean | $5.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $2.3k (exactly $2,336) | KOMA | |
| | Pest Control Simulator | · EA | $1.99 | 22 68% | 660 | $1.3k (exactly $1,313) | Phantom Playworks |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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