Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Management game?

Management + Board Game

Of 67 developers who shipped a Board Game Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 94 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×394 the market median. Revenue is up 75% on the market; 94 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 75% on the market, 94 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 67
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $127k → $9.9k → $599 → $7.5k → $239 → $3.9k → $1.9k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 67
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $8.8k (exactly $8,814)
Top 5% $248k (exactly $247,525)
Developers, 2 yr 67
Released games 167
Announced 94
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 75% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management, Board Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Simulation, Resource Management
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,715 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $8.8k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 94 games are announced against 43 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cultist Simulator older $19.99 10,496 82% 315k $6.3M (exactly $6,294,451) Weather Factory
Blood Bowl 3 older $29.99 3,940 51% 118k $3.5M (exactly $3,544,818) Cyanide Studio
Terraforming Mars older $19.99 5,194 71% 156k $3.1M (exactly $3,114,842) Artefacts Studio
Football, Tactics & Glory older $24.99 3,998 87% 120k $3.0M (exactly $2,997,301) Creoteam
Legend of Keepers: Career of a Dungeon Manager older $19.99 3,939 79% 118k $2.4M (exactly $2,362,218) Goblinz Studio
Terraformers older $19.99 3,031 88% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,817,691) Asteroid Lab
As Far As The Eye older $24.99 1,640 73% 49k $1.2M (exactly $1,229,508) Unexpected
Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator older $24.99 1,033 77% 31k $774k (exactly $774,440) Broken Arms Games
Tharsis older $14.99 1,438 71% 43k $647k (exactly $646,669) Choice Provisions
Supercar Collection Simulator $12.99 1,528 85% 46k $595k (exactly $595,462) Kiki Games
Let Them Trade $17.99 1,070 84% 32k $577k (exactly $577,479) Spaceflower
Preserve $12.49 690 92% 21k $259k (exactly $258,543) Bitmap Galaxy
Console Shop Simulator · EA $15.99 516 92% 15k $248k (exactly $247,525) Lance Games
Dungeon Inn · EA $12.99 594 92% 18k $231k (exactly $231,482) Cat Society
Turnbound $14.99 446 78% 13k $201k (exactly $200,566) 1TK
Master of Chess $19.99 290 83% 8.7k $174k (exactly $173,913) BRANE
Cropdeck $12.99 430 92% 13k $168k (exactly $167,571) Piotrek
Folk Emerging $24.99 73 86% 2.2k $55k (exactly $54,728) Curious Dynamics
Barrage $14.99 78 80% 2.3k $35k (exactly $35,077) Cranio Lab

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.