Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game City Builder?

City Builder + Board Game

Of 42 developers who shipped a Board Game City Builder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×412 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 45 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 45 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.3k → $11k → $3.3k → $8.2k → $1.1k → $3.9k → $11k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $446 (exactly $446)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,285)
Top 5% $259k (exactly $258,543)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 101
Announced 45
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Board Game; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Sandbox, Simulation
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Family Friendly, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,041 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dorfromantik older $13.99 27,441 96% 823k $12M (exactly $11,516,988) Toukana Interactive
dotAGE older $17.59 2,560 94% 77k $1.4M (exactly $1,350,912) Michele Pirovano
As Far As The Eye older $24.99 1,640 73% 49k $1.2M (exactly $1,229,508) Unexpected
TerraScape older $14.99 2,068 88% 62k $930k (exactly $929,980) Bitfall Studios
Let Them Trade $17.99 1,070 84% 32k $577k (exactly $577,479) Spaceflower
Dice Legacy older $14.99 892 67% 27k $401k (exactly $401,132) DESTINYbit
Isle of Arrows older $12.99 937 80% 28k $365k (exactly $365,149) Gridpop
Dawnfolk $14.99 664 94% 20k $299k (exactly $298,601) Darenn Keller
Blood Rage: Digital Edition older $19.99 477 58% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) Endava
Dice Kingdoms older $14.99 580 83% 17k $261k (exactly $260,826) Fivemid Studio
Preserve $12.49 690 92% 21k $259k (exactly $258,543) Bitmap Galaxy
River Towns $14.99 184 89% 5.5k $83k (exactly $82,745) Frogsong Studios
Amberspire $24.99 58 86% 1.7k $43k (exactly $43,483) Lunar Division
仙之气 · EA $10.99 114 74% 3.4k $38k (exactly $37,586) 按键工坊
Islantiles $14.99 61 90% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Thunderrock Innovations
Qianli: The Vastscape Scroll $9.99 79 86% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Betobe Studio
Wild City $9.99 63 88% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,881) Monka Studios
EVERDAWN $9.99 58 98% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) SOLIDS Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.