Do I ship it?

Games › Vehicular Combat › Vehicular Combat + Base Building

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Base Building Vehicular Combat game?

Vehicular Combat + Base Building

Only 13 developers shipped a Base Building Vehicular Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, WARDOGS, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×3.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $69M, ×111278 the market median. Revenue is up 900% on the market; 54 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 900% on the market, 54 announced, ×5.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Vehicular Combat + Base Building
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Vehicular Combat + Base Building: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,279)
Top 25% $766k (exactly $766,289)
Top 5% $70M (exactly $69,882,525)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 30
Announced 54
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 900% on the market, supply 235% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Vehicular Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Base Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Vehicular Combat, Base Building
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 65,710 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $760k, 1 in 20 over $69M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 54 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Vehicular Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Looter ShooterFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  2. + BuildingPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  3. + Online Co-OpPoor odds29 devs · median $62k · 75 announced
  4. + Co-opPoor odds38 devs · median $32k · 101 announced
  5. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $32k · 36 announced
  6. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $20k · 43 announced
  7. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $15k · 97 announced
  8. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 36 announced
  9. + SandboxPoor odds25 devs · median $10k · 70 announced
  10. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + ModernPoor odds18 devs · median $8.6k · 25 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds24 devs · median $4.8k · 52 announced

All 98 pairs on the Vehicular Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

WARDOGS 2026 · EA · $70M Pax Autocratica 2026 · EA · $2.9M Warpips 2022 · $2.2M Lost Skies 2025 · $1.9M TerraTech Worlds 2024 · EA · $1.8M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
WARDOGS · EA $39.99 58,250 81% 1.7M $70M (exactly $69,882,525) BULKHEAD
Pax Autocratica · EA $29.99 3,202 91% 96k $2.9M (exactly $2,880,839) Multiverse
Warpips older $16.99 4,339 87% 130k $2.2M (exactly $2,211,588) Skirmish Mode Games
Lost Skies $24.99 2,470 63% 74k $1.9M (exactly $1,851,759) Bossa Studios
TerraTech Worlds · EA older $29.99 2,027 62% 61k $1.8M (exactly $1,823,692) Payload Studios
Vietnam War · EA $14.99 1,704 84% 51k $766k (exactly $766,289) Thorium Game Lab
Airmen older $14.99 315 76% 9.5k $142k (exactly $141,656) Airborne Games
Miner's Mettle older $24.99 72 58% 2.2k $54k (exactly $53,978) Singular Scheme
Cursed Crew · EA older $20.00 70 80% 2.1k $42k (exactly $42,000) Cracklewock Games
Dynasty Protocol $17.99 36 63% 1.1k $19k (exactly $19,429) Ellipses Studios
Asteroid Odyssey $4.99 30 36% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) LampDog Studio
Cog Foo $18.99 4 0% 120 $2.3k (exactly $2,279) Anforus Games
FEBA Gunship R $2.99 9 100% 270 $807 (exactly $807) rucsgames
Fortified Space · EA $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Nightsail Game Studios
Daily War Online $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Xorbis

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.