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Should I ship an Auto Battler Grand Strategy?
Grand Strategy + Auto Battler
Only 15 developers shipped an Auto Battler Grand Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Great Villainess: Strategy of Lily, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×0.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600. 20 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper, while revenue is down 50% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $600 (exactly $600) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 25% | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) |
| Top 5% | $1.4M (exactly $1,375,641) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Grand Strategy
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Auto Battler
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Grand Strategy, Auto Battler
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,218 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Grand Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelikeFair
- + SportsFair
- + RogueliteFair
- + CrimeFair
- + RacingFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot
- + TabletopLong shot
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dominions 5 - Warriors of the Faith | older | $39.99 | 1,924 94% | 58k | $2.3M (exactly $2,308,223) | Illwinter Game Design |
| | Dominions 6 - Rise of the Pantokrator | older | $44.99 | 1,686 90% | 51k | $2.3M (exactly $2,275,594) | Illwinter Game Design |
| | The Great Villainess: Strategy of Lily | $29.99 | 1,529 85% | 46k | $1.4M (exactly $1,375,641) | Alliance Arts, One or Eight, WSS Playgr… (Alliance Arts, One or Eight, WSS Playground) | |
| | Line War | older | $24.99 | 1,076 80% | 32k | $807k (exactly $806,677) | Studio Centurion |
| | Buggos | older | $9.99 | 1,204 88% | 36k | $361k (exactly $360,839) | Intrepid Marmot |
| | NationWar2:Chronicle | $16.99 | 378 78% | 11k | $193k (exactly $192,667) | Yiming | |
| | Age of Gladiators | older | $7.99 | 709 77% | 21k | $170k (exactly $169,947) | Creative Storm Entertainment |
| | Wooden Battles | older | $9.99 | 515 79% | 15k | $154k (exactly $154,346) | SP Digital Arts Inc. |
| | Kingdom Ascension | $11.99 | 200 82% | 6.0k | $72k (exactly $71,940) | RainRingStudio | |
| | ShemHaMephorash | older | $8.99 | 34 94% | 1.0k | $9.2k (exactly $9,170) | SignTyche, Tyche's Bookshelf |
| | Bastionforge | $9.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $5.1k (exactly $5,095) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Grow Empire: Rome | $3.99 | 28 64% | 840 | $3.4k (exactly $3,352) | Games Station | |
| | Khaldun: Text Based Strategy | $4.99 | 22 95% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | SkyWolf | |
| | Loot of Idle | $1.99 | 33 48% | 990 | $2.0k (exactly $1,970) | DarkRook Interactive | |
| | War of Resistance | $4.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | chenjd | |
| | ARB: Alien Races Battle | · EA | $10.00 | 3 33% | 90 | $900 (exactly $900) | Raphael Tremblay |
| | Nexus Wars | · EA | $24.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $750 (exactly $750) | Ajion Arts |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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