Do I ship it?

GamesCity BuilderCity Builder + Auto Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Auto Battler City Builder?

City Builder + Auto Battler

Of 36 developers who shipped an Auto Battler City Builder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×7.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $4.0M, ×6449 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 46 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 46 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
City Builder + Auto Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $3.7k → $261k → $753k → $29k → $140k → $2.4k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for City Builder + Auto Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $594 (exactly $594)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,844)
Top 25% $45k (exactly $44,520)
Top 5% $4.0M (exactly $4,049,998)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 61
Announced 46
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

City Builder
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
City Builder, Auto Battler; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Base Building, Strategy, Building
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 36,067 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $44k, 1 in 20 over $4.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 5 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelStrong odds10 devs · median $19k · 8 announced
  2. + LogicFair58 devs · median $3.3k · 74 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair75 devs · median $1.3k · 96 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  5. + ArcadeFair28 devs · median $898 · 27 announced
  6. + RacingLong shot12 devs · median $299 · 9 announced
  7. + RomePoor odds9 devs · median $423k · 10 announced
  8. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds13 devs · median $215k · 25 announced
  9. + HorrorPoor odds10 devs · median $157k · 21 announced
  10. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds17 devs · median $146k · 50 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced

All 136 pairs on the City Builder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Thronefall $12.99 22,966 96% 689k $8.9M (exactly $8,949,850) GrizzlyGames, Mythwright
The King is Watching $14.99 9,006 88% 270k $4.0M (exactly $4,049,998) Hypnohead
Gladiator Guild Manager older $14.99 3,808 80% 114k $1.7M (exactly $1,712,458) Entertainment Forge
Citadelum $24.99 1,005 83% 30k $753k (exactly $753,448) Abylight Barcelona
Buggos 2 $19.99 692 83% 21k $415k (exactly $414,992) Intrepid Marmot
Buggos older $9.99 1,204 88% 36k $361k (exactly $360,839) Intrepid Marmot
There Are No Orcs $8.99 1,188 93% 36k $320k (exactly $320,404) BaseTrade Studio
Dice Kingdoms older $14.99 580 83% 17k $261k (exactly $260,826) Fivemid Studio
Berserk B.I.T.S $6.99 667 81% 20k $140k (exactly $139,870) BerserkBoy Games
Unholy Heights older $3.99 1,129 90% 34k $135k (exactly $135,141) Petit Depotto
SuperTaxCity $9.99 166 89% 5.0k $50k (exactly $49,750) soramame-koubou
SkyShard: City Battler · EA $14.99 106 97% 3.2k $48k (exactly $47,668) ItsBen321
Exark $14.99 99 73% 3.0k $45k (exactly $44,520) Robot Cat Limited
Red Rocket Defencism $7.99 172 98% 5.2k $41k (exactly $41,228) tiny cactus studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.