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Should I ship an Assassin Walking Simulator?
Walking Simulator + Assassins
Only 8 developers shipped an Assassin Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Within of Static - Ashburg Rental, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $750, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $18k, ×13 the market median. Revenue is up 555% on the market; 7 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $748 (exactly $748) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $17,538) |
| Top 5% | $19k (exactly $18,862) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 7 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 555% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Assassins
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Walking Simulator
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 593 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Walking Simulator with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + WarFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + MusicFair
- + SupernaturalFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + NoirFair
Comparable games
MADiSON VR 2024 · $217k 
Within of Static - Ashburg Rental 2025 · $19k 
Dark Atlas: Infernum 2025 · $18k 
Dead World 2024 · EA · $10k 
Tale of Ninja: Fall of the Miyoshi 2021 · $7.0k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MADiSON VR | older | $34.99 | 207 76% | 6.2k | $217k (exactly $217,288) | BLOODIOUS GAMES |
| | Within of Static - Ashburg Rental | $4.99 | 126 80% | 3.8k | $19k (exactly $18,862) | 616 GAMES | |
| | Dark Atlas: Infernum | $14.99 | 39 82% | 1.2k | $18k (exactly $17,538) | Night Council Studio | |
| | Dead World | · EA older | $3.99 | 87 97% | 2.6k | $10k (exactly $10,414) | Milanesa Studio |
| | Tale of Ninja: Fall of the Miyoshi | older | $4.99 | 47 53% | 1.4k | $7.0k (exactly $7,036) | S.Y. GAMES |
 | Targeted –10 Days | older | $4.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $3.6k (exactly $3,593) | Glitchy Frame Studio |
 | The Fear Island | older | $5.99 | 19 47% | 570 | $3.4k (exactly $3,414) | André Facchinetti, Rafael Rios |
 | THE LORD OF THE NIGHT: Pombero Reborn | older | $12.99 | 7 42% | 210 | $2.7k (exactly $2,728) | Inside Studios, Warani Studios |
 | TAXIDERMY | older | $3.99 | 19 63% | 570 | $2.3k (exactly $2,274) | Fernando Tittz |
 | Don't blame you | older | $2.99 | 18 44% | 540 | $1.6k (exactly $1,615) | HKGamesStudio |
 | Good Human | $1.99 | 22 86% | 660 | $1.3k (exactly $1,313) | Ramanaraz | |
 | Yindy | $4.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Tidley 羊 | |
 | Corcovado's Night Guard | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | LuGuMiVi Games | |
 | Classroom Whispers | $2.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $359 (exactly $359) | La Oreja de Vancho Studios | |
 | Trapped At Home | $2.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | manyworks | |
 | Backrooms: The Wrong Door | · EA | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | SUDT Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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