Do I ship it?

GamesHidden ObjectHidden Object + Assassins

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Assassin Hidden Object?

Hidden Object + Assassins

Only 14 developers shipped an Assassin Hidden Object in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Lacerator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $48k, ×32 the market median. Revenue is up 1155% on the market; 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 1155% on the market, 15 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hidden Object + Assassins
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $3.6k → $3.6k → $119 → $3.5k → $3.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hidden Object + Assassins: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,313)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,753)
Top 5% $48k (exactly $48,252)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 44
Announced 15
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1155% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hidden Object
effort 2 / 10 · high · static scenes with click targets
Assassins
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Hidden Object
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 402 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $5.7k, 1 in 20 over $48k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hidden Object with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  2. + Level EditorFair12 devs · median $7.6k · 14 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair46 devs · median $3.5k · 41 announced
  4. + CatsFair128 devs · median $1.5k · 160 announced
  5. + DogsFair35 devs · median $1.5k · 18 announced
  6. + RomanceFair60 devs · median $1.5k · 48 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  8. + City BuilderFair16 devs · median $1.3k · 20 announced
  9. + SimulationFair475 devs · median $1.2k · 555 announced
  10. + UnderwaterFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Word GameFair29 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  12. + Point & ClickFair470 devs · median $1.2k · 502 announced

All 188 pairs on the Hidden Object page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
West Hunt older $9.99 1,522 84% 46k $456k (exactly $456,143) NewGen
マーダーミステリーパラドクス このひと夏の十五年 older $19.99 249 85% 7.5k $149k (exactly $149,325) 213℉
The Lacerator $9.99 161 99% 4.8k $48k (exactly $48,252) Games From The Abyss
Geometric Sniper older $2.99 282 84% 8.5k $25k (exactly $25,295) YAW Studios
1953 - KGB Unleashed older $2.99 218 63% 6.5k $20k (exactly $19,555) ·
8AM older $3.99 130 73% 3.9k $16k (exactly $15,561) David Gallardo
烧尾宴 $8.99 52 75% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,024) 有点正经
Immortal Mantis older $1.99 226 94% 6.8k $13k (exactly $13,492) Bitlife
超探偵シャーロックちゃん ~掟破りのミスディレクション~ $9.99 38 73% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) おんねんちゃんねる
Worker Riot older $24.99 11 81% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
CrimeBot 2: Detective Mystery Games $7.99 24 50% 720 $5.8k (exactly $5,753) RoboBot Studio
8AM: The Swimming Pool $3.99 31 74% 930 $3.7k (exactly $3,711) David Gallardo
8AM: The Office $3.99 29 72% 870 $3.5k (exactly $3,471) David Gallardo
Bloody Hills $5.99 16 93% 480 $2.9k (exactly $2,875) Bloody Pitchfork Games
8AM: The Shopping Mall $3.99 21 71% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) David Gallardo
Good Human $1.99 22 86% 660 $1.3k (exactly $1,313) Ramanaraz
8AM: The Subway $3.99 8 87% 240 $958 (exactly $958) David Gallardo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.