Games › Arena Shooter › Arena Shooter + Time Manipulation
Should I ship a Time Manipulation Arena Shooter?
Arena Shooter + Time Manipulation
Only 11 developers shipped a Time Manipulation Arena Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, COLD VR, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $16k, ×27 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $809 (exactly $809) |
| Top 25% | $3.2k (exactly $3,236) |
| Top 5% | $17k (exactly $16,792) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 15 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Arena Shooter
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Time Manipulation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Arena Shooter, Time Manipulation
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 82 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + IncrementalFair
- + DemonsFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Multiple EndingsFair
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + DeckbuildingPoor odds
- + Bullet HeavenPoor odds
- + Class-BasedPoor odds
- + Boomer ShooterPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Soundodger 2 | older | $19.99 | 185 95% | 5.6k | $111k (exactly $110,944) | Studio Bean |
| | David. | older | $1.99 | 581 79% | 17k | $35k (exactly $34,686) | Fermenter Games |
| | PositronX | older | $19.99 | 56 71% | 1.7k | $34k (exactly $33,583) | Scorpius Games |
| | COLD VR | $19.99 | 28 60% | 840 | $17k (exactly $16,792) | ALLWARE LLC | |
| | Beyond Flesh and Blood | · EA older | $14.99 | 17 41% | 510 | $7.6k (exactly $7,645) | Pixelbomb Games |
| | Ecstatic | older | $5.99 | 28 96% | 840 | $5.0k (exactly $5,032) | PUNKCAKE Delicieux |
| | Razerwire:Nanowars | older | $1.99 | 83 87% | 2.5k | $5.0k (exactly $4,955) | Hammer & Ravens |
| | CYBER92 DATAWAR | $9.92 | 14 50% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,166) | Cyber92 Solo Developer | |
| | Echobreaker | $8.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $3.2k (exactly $3,236) | Upstream Arcade | |
| | BoltBreak | older | $5.99 | 18 66% | 540 | $3.2k (exactly $3,235) | KomodoBit Games |
| | BACKFIRE | $9.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | SQYD.studio | |
| | Laserboy VR | $3.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.3k (exactly $1,317) | Tuckspace Games | |
| | Casa De Diamantes | $8.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $809 (exactly $809) | SoulPixel Studio | |
| | Apex Path: BOLT | · EA | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Sanswolf |
| | Snow Defense | $7.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | Saritasa VR Production | |
| | Mayday | $6.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | GTD | |
| | Protocol:Chrono | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | SilverMoon Labs |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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