Do I ship it?

Games › Arena Shooter › Arena Shooter + Tanks

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tanks Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + Tanks

Only 14 developers shipped a Tanks Arena Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deck of Treads, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 46 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 46 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Tanks
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $4.2k → $299 → $2.3k → $150 → $748 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Tanks: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $898 (exactly $898)
Top 5% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 81
Announced 46
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Tanks; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvP, Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 63 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $300, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $3.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Ballistic Tanks 2016 · $32k Toy Tanks 2022 · $19k TANKNAROK 2020 · $18k Tank Royale 2019 · EA · $15k TankZone Battle 2015 · $11k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ballistic Tanks older $4.99 212 81% 6.4k $32k (exactly $31,736) Kirklight Games
Toy Tanks older $9.99 64 89% 1.9k $19k (exactly $19,181) Fuzzy Sock Studios
TANKNAROK older $5.99 99 88% 3.0k $18k (exactly $17,790) Polyblock Studio
Tank Royale · EA older $9.99 50 88% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) BSS company
TankZone Battle older $4.99 73 73% 2.2k $11k (exactly $10,928) Render System
Battle Tracks older $19.99 15 93% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Dreamfire Studios, Bytefire Games
Oh No! Bugs! older $1.99 95 80% 2.9k $5.7k (exactly $5,672) Doomster Entertainment
Tanks, But No Tanks older $7.99 21 95% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Set Sail Games
Sugar Tanks older $4.99 29 86% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) EpiXR Games UG
Boaty Tanks older $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) EpiXR Games UG
Deck of Treads $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) DuckByte Games
Bedroom Battlegrounds $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) WCHC
TONK · EA $3.99 22 77% 660 $2.6k (exactly $2,633) YourAverageOtter
Rogue Tanks $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Clayton Games
Arena Breakers · EA $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) RongeGames
Soul Machine $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Zanarka Studio
GG Tanks $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Rodrigo Pistorello Vidor
StompyBoy $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Studio Prime LLC
Tanks: Total Destruction $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 2DevStudio
Warscape Alpha $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Future-B Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.