Do I ship it?

GamesArena ShooterArena Shooter + Survival Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arena Shooter Survival Horror?

Arena Shooter + Survival Horror

Of 22 developers who shipped an Arena Shooter Survival Horror in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 27 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Survival Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $178 → $240 → $150 → $1.8k → $179 → $419 → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Survival Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Top 5% $42k (exactly $41,766)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 89
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Survival Horror; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Action Roguelike
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 696 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $41k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shark Attack Deathmatch 2 older $4.99 1,415 74% 42k $212k (exactly $211,826) Lighthouse Games Studio
The Last of Waifus older $1.99 1,102 80% 33k $66k (exactly $65,789) Konnichiwa Games
Masked Forces: Zombie Survival older $4.99 359 70% 11k $54k (exactly $53,742) Nightbinder
Project RIP older $13.99 121 61% 3.6k $51k (exactly $50,784) Storming Tech
GUNTOUCHABLES $4.99 336 75% 10k $50k (exactly $50,299) Game Swing
CRIMSON METAL Classic 1999 older $4.99 282 49% 8.5k $42k (exactly $42,215) Madbox Entertainment
The Last Man Survivor $4.99 279 67% 8.4k $42k (exactly $41,766) Renderise
Zero Tolerance older $11.99 65 80% 2.0k $23k (exactly $23,380) Technopop
Nix Umbra older $9.99 76 84% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) ilzard
Deadly Land · EA older $5.99 104 77% 3.1k $19k (exactly $18,689) SchmidtGames
Trenches VR $14.99 21 66% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) Steelkrill Studio
Escape From Infection Zone $39.99 6 100% 180 $7.2k (exactly $7,198) Funbang
BPROOF $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Dexsolutions
Still Space $2.99 13 100% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Sofa Interactive
Hellfire Rampage VR $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Nazar Korinnyi
Hunt Asylum Together $0.99 17 70% 510 $505 (exactly $505) cnsgames
Hunt Skeletons Together $0.99 15 86% 450 $446 (exactly $446) cnsgames
For The Wheat $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Studio Sasta

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.