Do I ship it?

Games › Arena Shooter › Arena Shooter + Sports

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arena Shooter Sports game?

Arena Shooter + Sports

Of 39 developers who shipped an Arena Shooter Sports game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 22 developers shipped in the last year and 55 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 55 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Sports
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $600 → $1.9k → $836 → $300 → $600 → $359 → $179 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Sports: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $719 (exactly $719)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $18,438)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 170
Announced 55
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Sports; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cartoony, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 390 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $710, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gas Guzzlers Extreme 2013 · $2.3M Rollerdrome 2022 · $1.3M Robot Roller-Derby Disco Dodgeball 2015 · $677k Infinite Tournament Paintball 2020 · $241k Monday Night Combat 2011 · $137k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gas Guzzlers Extreme older $24.99 3,081 86% 92k $2.3M (exactly $2,309,826) Gamepires
Rollerdrome older $29.99 1,486 91% 45k $1.3M (exactly $1,336,954) Roll7
Robot Roller-Derby Disco Dodgeball older $9.99 2,258 91% 68k $677k (exactly $676,723) Erik Asmussen
Infinite Tournament Paintball older $14.99 537 84% 16k $241k (exactly $241,489) FiveTwo Games
Monday Night Combat older $4.99 912 81% 27k $137k (exactly $136,526) Uber Entertainment
STRIDE: Fates older $29.99 149 51% 4.5k $134k (exactly $134,055) Joy Way
Dash Dash World older $24.99 147 74% 4.4k $110k (exactly $110,206) MOTIONX STUDIO
Motordoom older $13.99 174 94% 5.2k $73k (exactly $73,028) Hobo Cat Games
Hot Shot Burn older $14.99 140 90% 4.2k $63k (exactly $62,958) Artifex Mundi
Tower Tag $9.99 180 90% 5.4k $54k (exactly $53,946) Steinfatt GmbH
The Amazing Crackpots Club! $14.99 41 95% 1.2k $18k (exactly $18,438) Astrobard Games, IguanaBee
SPORTAL $7.99 57 94% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,663) Sleepwalking Potatoes
Just Skill Shooter: Catacombs $9.99 17 64% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
Moorhuhn 2 $4.99 31 96% 930 $4.6k (exactly $4,641) Higgs Games GmbH, GeekPit Studio
Chasers Dash & Bash $9.99 15 93% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Flipstar
Survalker $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
Difficult times 2 $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Skuf vs beer bottle party $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
SkyLeap $11.99 9 100% 270 $3.2k (exactly $3,237) XOCUS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.