Do I ship it?

Games › Arena Shooter › Arena Shooter + Real Time Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Real Time Tactics Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + Real Time Tactics

Only 13 developers shipped a Real Time Tactics Arena Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Antivirus Girl, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×5.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $980, ×1.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $40k, ×65 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 41 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 41 announced, ×5.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Real Time Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $479 → $450 → $1.0k → $208 → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Real Time Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $208 (exactly $208)
Median $980 (exactly $980)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 5% $41k (exactly $40,509)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 61
Announced 41
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Real Time Tactics; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Strategy
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 341 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $980, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $40k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Infinite Tournament Paintball 2020 · $241k Antivirus Girl 2026 · $41k DeTechtive 2112 2025 · $20k Sky of Destruction 2024 · $15k Devader 2019 · $7.7k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Infinite Tournament Paintball older $14.99 537 84% 16k $241k (exactly $241,489) FiveTwo Games
Antivirus Girl $7.99 169 88% 5.1k $41k (exactly $40,509) Chowbie
DeTechtive 2112 $10.99 60 46% 1.8k $20k (exactly $19,782) M11 Studio
Sky of Destruction older $12.99 38 52% 1.1k $15k (exactly $14,809) Satur Entertainment
Devader older $7.99 32 93% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) Falkenbrew
Call of Coronga older $3.99 44 65% 1.3k $5.3k (exactly $5,267) Luiz Felipe Da Silva Marian
Flying Corps older $24.99 7 28% 210 $5.2k (exactly $5,248) Rowan Software
Toast Time older $4.99 32 81% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) Force Of Habit
Danger Drone older $9.99 14 71% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
Space Merchants: Arena older $6.99 18 61% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) Playito.com
Stepfight $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Gamesforgames
MiniWarfare · EA $9.99 6 100% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) BajaStorm
Project Corner $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Triny Games
MEMOLOGY: ESCAPE OF MEMES $0.99 35 91% 1.1k $1.0k (exactly $1,040) Gamesforfarm, Piece Of Voxel
The Memological Dungeon $0.99 33 90% 990 $980 (exactly $980) Gamesforfarm
Doomvile Brainrot $0.99 15 66% 450 $446 (exactly $446) Gamesforgames
Dream's frog $1.99 6 100% 180 $358 (exactly $358) Slay Buherman
FastMoBa $2.50 3 100% 90 $225 (exactly $225) Nguyen Thanh Chinh

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.