Do I ship it?

Games › Arena Shooter › Arena Shooter + Quick-Time Events

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Quick-Time Events Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + Quick-Time Events

Only 10 developers shipped a Quick-Time Events Arena Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pet the Cat, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Quick-Time Events
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $1.9k → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Quick-Time Events: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $76 (exactly $76)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,058)
Top 5% $23k (exactly $23,204)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 30
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Quick-Time Events
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 81% positive over 192 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $76, median $180, 1 in 4 over $3.0k, 1 in 20 over $23k.

3 in 10 developers made under $76. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Pet the Cat 2026 · $23k Shooting Arena VR 2020 · EA · $11k Flying Corps 2021 · $5.2k Mimetic - Prop hunt hide and seek 2026 · $3.5k Hellcome 2024 · $3.1k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Pet the Cat $4.99 155 83% 4.7k $23k (exactly $23,204) MEWSTURBO
Shooting Arena VR · EA older $12.99 28 85% 840 $11k (exactly $10,912) Infinity Studio
Flying Corps older $24.99 7 28% 210 $5.2k (exactly $5,248) Rowan Software
Mimetic - Prop hunt hide and seek $4.70 25 80% 750 $3.5k (exactly $3,525) ClockNotionStudio
Hellcome older $6.99 15 60% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) Game Dev Garage
Rage Room: Catharsis $16.99 6 33% 180 $3.1k (exactly $3,058) Revino Games
HaHa older $3.99 16 100% 480 $1.9k (exactly $1,915) 2E
Chickado · EA older $2.99 16 68% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) Bugy Games
Soldier older $2.99 6 83% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Oscar Orio Costoya, OCGames
Demolition Party older $3.99 4 75% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Bhor Games
Foes of Legacy: Survivors · EA $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Vsaire Games
Bug Bane Survivors · EA $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) The Cipher Ink.
Carnival Happy Day $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) FantasyL
Voltgrit: Combat Zone $2.55 1 0% 30 $76 (exactly $76) Avnic25
Sword Snap $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) CelestialCore Games
Evil Spirit Hunter $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SOLO
Vibrant Vector · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Renan Muquiutti

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.