Do I ship it?

Games › Arena Shooter › Arena Shooter + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + Precision Platformer

Only 14 developers shipped a Precision Platformer Arena Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BAIONLENJA, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 4 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 495% on the market, 4 announced, ×0.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $959 → $899 → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $959 (exactly $959)
Top 5% $199k (exactly $198,747)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 35
Announced 4
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 495% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Precision Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 551 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $950, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 4 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

BAIONLENJA 2025 · EA · $199k RedEx 2020 · $27k GROUND-UNBOUND 2021 · $5.5k Monkey Doo 2023 · $4.0k SUGAMENIA 2024 · $3.6k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
RedEx older $7.99 111 77% 3.3k $27k (exactly $26,607) fraimone, NipoBox
GROUND-UNBOUND older $4.99 37 86% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Frinky
Monkey Doo older $14.99 9 66% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Continuum XR
SUGAMENIA older $9.99 12 83% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) CHUSO GAMES
SkyLeap $11.99 9 100% 270 $3.2k (exactly $3,237) XOCUS
Echobreaker $8.99 12 100% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Upstream Arcade
Gatherings older $4.99 19 100% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Lobster Games
Action Ball older $6.99 13 92% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Rionix
Joe and the Gun older $3.99 15 100% 450 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Dnovel
Recoil Rush · EA $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Banthanor
Revolvermen $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Oskar Wetterbrandt
Apex Path: BOLT · EA $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Sanswolf
Dropcore $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Wain Interactive
Bubble Hook Mania $0.99 7 100% 210 $208 (exactly $208) Rokito Games
Carnival Happy Day $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) FantasyL
Modavuj Platform $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Modavuj Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.