Do I ship it?

Games › Arena Shooter › Arena Shooter + Parkour

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Parkour Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + Parkour

Of 23 developers who shipped a Parkour Arena Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×316 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 49 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 49 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Parkour
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.6k → $3.8k → $5.2k → $5.1k → $599 → $3.2k (still earning) → $3.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Parkour: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $6.6k (exactly $6,593)
Top 5% $199k (exactly $198,747)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 89
Announced 49
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 38%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Parkour; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Shooter
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 8,207 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $900, 1 in 4 over $6.5k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 6 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Echo Point Nova 2024 · $5.6M Quake Live 2014 · $1.3M Boomerang X 2021 · $736k BAIONLENJA 2025 · EA · $199k GOAT OF DUTY 2019 · EA · $164k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Echo Point Nova $24.99 7,521 96% 226k $5.6M (exactly $5,638,494) Greylock Studio
Quake Live older $9.99 4,361 88% 131k $1.3M (exactly $1,306,992) id Software
Boomerang X older $19.99 1,228 95% 37k $736k (exactly $736,432) DANG!
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
GOAT OF DUTY · EA older $9.99 548 89% 16k $164k (exactly $164,236) 34BigThings
STRIDE: Fates older $29.99 149 51% 4.5k $134k (exactly $134,055) Joy Way
LEAP older $14.99 219 52% 6.6k $98k (exactly $98,484) Blue Isle Studios
MEATGRINDER older $9.99 248 87% 7.4k $74k (exactly $74,326) Vampire Squid
Diatomic older $9.99 135 76% 4.1k $40k (exactly $40,460) Diatomic Studios
The Burst older $15.99 76 72% 2.3k $36k (exactly $36,457) GoRapid Studio
Gunstoppable $12.49 58 81% 1.7k $22k (exactly $21,733) CAGE Studios
Marrow Marrow $13.99 20 100% 600 $8.4k (exactly $8,394) Monster Moon
SkillWarz · EA $9.99 24 95% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Baltverge Games
World of Unlit $9.99 22 63% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) MaxyDev
Battle Squares $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Feesh Studio
SkyLeap $11.99 9 100% 270 $3.2k (exactly $3,237) XOCUS
Echobreaker $8.99 12 100% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Upstream Arcade
Mechanical Fury - Prologue $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Avian Hearts

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.