Do I ship it?

GamesArena ShooterArena Shooter + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + Local Multiplayer

Of 60 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Arena Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 91 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $18k, ×29 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 91 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 91 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 60
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.5k → $1.5k → $1.1k → $1.1k → $599 → $4.5k → $599 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 60
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $18,438)
Developers, 2 yr 60
Released games 233
Announced 91
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Local Multiplayer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvP, Arcade
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 613 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. Nearly all of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 91 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Patch Quest older $14.99 2,058 94% 62k $925k (exactly $925,483) Lychee Game Labs
Robot Roller-Derby Disco Dodgeball older $9.99 2,258 91% 68k $677k (exactly $676,723) Erik Asmussen
Screencheat older $14.99 851 91% 26k $383k (exactly $382,695) Samurai Punk
Tesla vs Lovecraft older $14.99 851 89% 26k $383k (exactly $382,695) 10tons Ltd
Murder Miners older $2.99 3,965 87% 119k $356k (exactly $355,660) JForce Games
BlazeRush older $9.99 1,031 88% 31k $309k (exactly $308,991) Targem Games
Yet Another Zombie Defense HD older $3.99 2,561 84% 77k $307k (exactly $306,552) Awesome Games Studio
Infinite Tournament Paintball older $14.99 537 84% 16k $241k (exactly $241,489) FiveTwo Games
Shape Shifter: Formations $14.99 269 91% 8.1k $121k (exactly $120,969) Castec Studios
Iron Fisticle older $8.99 353 85% 11k $95k (exactly $95,204) Confused Pelican
MeowGun: Hell Denizen $12.99 114 98% 3.4k $44k (exactly $44,426) SusaDeBastet
The Amazing Crackpots Club! $14.99 41 95% 1.2k $18k (exactly $18,438) Astrobard Games, IguanaBee
Kickback: Shoot to Move! 👾 $6.99 59 100% 1.8k $12k (exactly $12,372) Dot blood
QUADRICOLOR: Ultra Sentai Color Ranger $12.99 27 96% 810 $11k (exactly $10,522) Quadri Team
Chaos on Wheels $9.99 34 67% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) Acodeon Development
Dirtnap · EA $7.99 19 84% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitr… (Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitroyale)
Me, You and Kaiju · EA $14.99 10 90% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) Sleepy Coast Games
Chasers Dash & Bash $9.99 15 93% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Flipstar
Mimetic - Prop hunt hide and seek $4.70 25 80% 750 $3.5k (exactly $3,525) ClockNotionStudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.