Do I ship it?

GamesArena ShooterArena Shooter + Dungeon Crawler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dungeon Crawler Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + Dungeon Crawler

Only 16 developers shipped a Dungeon Crawler Arena Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Abyssus, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150, ×0.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper, while revenue is up 125% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 23 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Dungeon Crawler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $3.0k → $446 → $0 → $120 → $61k (still earning) → $358 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Dungeon Crawler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $61k (exactly $60,884)
Top 5% $3.8M (exactly $3,758,996)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 61
Announced 23
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Dungeon Crawler
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 83% positive over 6,099 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $60k, 1 in 20 over $3.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Abyssus $24.99 5,014 84% 150k $3.8M (exactly $3,758,996) DoubleMoose Games
Star of Providence older $14.99 3,178 96% 95k $1.4M (exactly $1,429,147) Team D-13
Ziggurat older $14.99 2,835 86% 85k $1.3M (exactly $1,274,900) Milkstone Studios
Ziggurat 2 older $24.99 1,292 90% 39k $969k (exactly $968,612) Milkstone Studios
Patch Quest older $14.99 2,058 94% 62k $925k (exactly $925,483) Lychee Game Labs
Soulslinger: Envoy of Death $19.99 472 63% 14k $283k (exactly $283,058) Elder Games
Nakara $9.99 310 91% 9.3k $93k (exactly $92,907) R3dspike
LONE RUIN older $14.99 152 61% 4.6k $68k (exactly $68,354) Cuddle Monster Games
Ogre Chambers 2222 $7.99 254 96% 7.6k $61k (exactly $60,884) ANTENNA GAMES
DEATHRUN TV older $14.99 58 81% 1.7k $26k (exactly $26,083) Laser Dog
Touhou Brawl $11.99 39 51% 1.2k $14k (exactly $14,028) FIVE DUCK GAMES
Dream's frog $1.99 6 100% 180 $358 (exactly $358) Slay Buherman
Shadow Walker $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) trying to code
Truck Maxxing $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Lam3Studios
Dungeons Bomb $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) MARIOZY
Angela Is A Bitxx $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Primary Chicken Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.