Do I ship it?

GamesArena ShooterArena Shooter + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + Cyberpunk

Of 62 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Arena Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 143 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $54k, ×87 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 143 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 143 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 62
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $1.3k → $657 → $898 → $6.0k → $2.1k → $449 (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 62
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,317)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,594)
Top 5% $55k (exactly $54,845)
Developers, 2 yr 62
Released games 211
Announced 143
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Bullet Hell
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 3,664 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $54k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 143 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Turbo Overkill older $19.99 6,412 94% 192k $3.8M (exactly $3,845,276) Trigger Happy Interactive
Deadlink older $24.99 2,871 90% 86k $2.2M (exactly $2,152,389) Gruby Entertainment
SPRAWL older $14.99 1,961 87% 59k $882k (exactly $881,862) MAETH
TerraTech Legion $9.99 2,109 81% 63k $632k (exactly $632,067) Payload Studios
Black Ice · EA older $19.99 515 95% 15k $309k (exactly $308,846) Nonadecimal Creative, Super Duper Garre… (Nonadecimal Creative, Super Duper Garrett Cooper)
REAVER · EA older $13.99 539 87% 16k $226k (exactly $226,218) crunkz, Black Boat Games
Go Mecha Ball older $19.99 371 85% 11k $222k (exactly $222,489) Whale Peak Games
Furry Killer older $29.99 241 78% 7.2k $217k (exactly $216,828) Sujikon
Titan Attacks! older $9.99 654 92% 20k $196k (exactly $196,004) Puppygames
DESYNC older $14.99 396 79% 12k $178k (exactly $178,081) The Foregone Syndicate
CyberCorp $14.99 351 75% 11k $158k (exactly $157,845) Megame LLC
Beyond Sunset $9.99 297 77% 8.9k $89k (exactly $89,011) Metacorp / Vaporware
Cyberpunk SFX $9.99 183 83% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,845) Whale Rock Games
Tower Tag $9.99 180 90% 5.4k $54k (exactly $53,946) Steinfatt GmbH
Slyders $9.99 162 85% 4.9k $49k (exactly $48,551) Kato Games
Corebreaker · EA $7.99 161 92% 4.8k $39k (exactly $38,592) aQuadiun
TEXNOPLAZM · EA $15.99 65 98% 2.0k $31k (exactly $31,180) Mothership Loudspeakerz
Rhythm Storm $9.99 86 91% 2.6k $26k (exactly $25,774) Radiangames
Ultra Mega Cats · EA $11.99 70 74% 2.1k $25k (exactly $25,179) Fallen Leaf, Unseen Silence, Black Drak… (Fallen Leaf, Unseen Silence, Black Drakkar Games)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.