Do I ship it?

GamesArena ShooterArena Shooter + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 9 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Arena Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Survalker, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.0k against a market of $630. 6 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 470% on the market, 6 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,040)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $3.8k (exactly $3,778)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 25
Announced 6
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 470% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Choose Your Own Adventure; all of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2.5D, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 148 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $3.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Survalker $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
Skuf vs beer bottle party $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Cemetery Warrior V older $3.99 32 71% 960 $3.8k (exactly $3,830) Falco Software
Iron Trails: Outlaw Pursuit · EA $17.99 7 14% 210 $3.8k (exactly $3,778) Gloac Games, Gloac
VILOVEJETS $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Polka Studio
Stepfight $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Gamesforgames
Blackhole on the Road older $4.99 19 52% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Atomic
Escape The Forest older $19.99 3 66% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Sheer Studios
Melon Dusk · EA older $1.99 23 86% 690 $1.4k (exactly $1,373) SeedWall
Knighventure $2.99 14 78% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) Gamesforgames
Amplexus Protocol $5.95 6 100% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,071) Nikraria
MEMOLOGY: ESCAPE OF MEMES $0.99 35 91% 1.1k $1.0k (exactly $1,040) Gamesforfarm, Piece Of Voxel
The Memological Dungeon $0.99 33 90% 990 $980 (exactly $980) Gamesforfarm
Its Time To Meet God $2.99 5 80% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Kruix

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.