Do I ship it?

GamesArena ShooterArena Shooter + Auto Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Auto Battler Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + Auto Battler

Only 13 developers shipped an Auto Battler Arena Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cyber Clutch: Hot Import Nights, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $12k, ×20 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 20 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + Auto Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $10k → $3.6k → $748 (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + Auto Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $628 (exactly $628)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,197)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,593)
Top 5% $13k (exactly $12,594)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 40
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, Auto Battler
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 325 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Heretic's Fork older $9.99 3,097 85% 93k $928k (exactly $928,171) 9FingerGames
Just King older $4.99 1,362 89% 41k $204k (exactly $203,891) VISH
Towerful Defense: A Rogue TD older $9.99 209 70% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,637) Mini Fun Games
Cyber Clutch: Hot Import Nights $19.99 21 61% 630 $13k (exactly $12,594) Gunpowder Games, Focuspoint Studios
Endless waves survival $1.99 202 79% 6.1k $12k (exactly $12,059) Jeferson Belmiro
Centipede Gun older $2.99 115 91% 3.5k $10k (exactly $10,316) Mateusk2m
Cloud Keeper: Shrine of Dal · EA $6.99 28 100% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) Jetpackgone
SuperTotalCarnage! · EA older $2.99 63 55% 1.9k $5.7k (exactly $5,651) IndieGala
Dungeon and Craft older $6.99 25 92% 750 $5.2k (exactly $5,242) Musa GUNGOR
Zombie Survivors older $1.99 63 61% 1.9k $3.8k (exactly $3,761) WubsGames
GRING×GRIND $4.99 24 66% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Lola Fisher
Pulslink $6.99 8 75% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) FatCoke
Space Disco Outlaw $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Passionately Chill LLC
AutoBlobber $3.99 10 90% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Pancake Lab
Monkey Gang $3.99 10 100% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Xijnim, Skyel
Intergalactic Cleaning Squad $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Rigid Games
SOVA NA SKAKALKE $2.99 7 71% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Quiet River

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.