Games › Driving › Driving + Alternate History
Should I ship an Alternate-History Driving game?
Driving + Alternate History
Only 10 developers shipped an Alternate-History Driving game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deliver At All Costs, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×458 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 20 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) |
| Top 25% | $210k (exactly $209,700) |
| Top 5% | $288k (exactly $287,904) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Driving
- effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
- Alternate History
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Driving
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 69% positive over 1,914 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Driving with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + World War IIFair
- + MusicFair
- + ThrillerFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + LogicFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | HROT | older | $19.99 | 5,299 96% | 159k | $3.2M (exactly $3,177,810) | Spytihněv |
| | Deliver At All Costs | $29.99 | 320 73% | 9.6k | $288k (exactly $287,904) | Studio Far Out Games | |
| | A Bumpy Ride | $14.99 | 569 97% | 17k | $256k (exactly $255,879) | Cosmoporium Games | |
| | Another Try 2 | · EA | $6.99 | 1,000 53% | 30k | $210k (exactly $209,700) | Hoki Wolf Studio |
| | Titan Attacks! | older | $9.99 | 654 92% | 20k | $196k (exactly $196,004) | Puppygames |
| | NecroVisioN: Lost Company | older | $6.99 | 464 73% | 14k | $97k (exactly $97,301) | The Farm 51 |
| | Poly Squad | · EA older | $4.99 | 316 49% | 9.5k | $47k (exactly $47,305) | OXO Games |
| | REPUNK | older | $8.99 | 30 60% | 900 | $8.1k (exactly $8,091) | Almar |
| | The Legend of Bear-Truck Trucker | older | $4.99 | 52 98% | 1.6k | $7.8k (exactly $7,784) | Captain Games |
| | Tear of Time: Lost memory | older | $3.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $2.2k (exactly $2,155) | SIMPRA ORG |
| | The Last Delivery Man On Earth | $7.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Rebind | |
| | Midnight Shift | $2.99 | 14 14% | 420 | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) | Midnight Gaming Studio | |
| | Careening | · EA | $7.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Sean N Richardson |
| | Car May Fly | · EA | $6.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | carmayflystudio |
| | Terracrest | $5.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $180 (exactly $180) | Levi Spencer | |
| | Chernobots | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Sportz League | |
| | Terra Lapsa: After Ragnarök | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | PalotásForge |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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