Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Aliens

Of 23 developers who shipped an Alien Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $26k, ×56 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 24 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 24 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $479 → $270 → $629 → $1.7k → $210 → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,632)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 80
Announced 24
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 799 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Xeodrifter older $9.99 738 75% 22k $221k (exactly $221,179) Atooi
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
B.I.O.T.A. older $9.99 206 85% 6.2k $62k (exactly $61,738) small bros
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG
This Is No Cave $6.99 127 96% 3.8k $27k (exactly $26,632) monome.studio
ION Shift $5.99 140 90% 4.2k $25k (exactly $25,158) Electro Soul Games
Frebbventure older $12.99 53 98% 1.6k $21k (exactly $20,654) AlmyriganHero
LOST ORBIT: Terminal Velocity older $9.99 28 85% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) PixelNAUTS Games
Abduction Bit older $0.99 244 89% 7.3k $7.2k (exactly $7,247) SEEP
Galacticon older $4.99 46 100% 1.4k $6.9k (exactly $6,886) Radin Games
BeDo $4.99 39 100% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) Felipe Jimenez, Reborilux
DOSTAVKA $2.99 38 92% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) SASHADEV, SASHA
4番線 | Platform 4 $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
Alien Breakout $1.99 28 100% 840 $1.7k (exactly $1,672) Vergiu
Iluminatus Bizarre Ascent $5.99 6 100% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) EIS Games, Iluminatus
Xenogen $7.49 4 100% 120 $899 (exactly $899) Sylph

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.