Games › Grand Strategy › Grand Strategy + Aliens
Should I ship an Alien Grand Strategy?
Grand Strategy + Aliens
Only 6 developers shipped an Alien Grand Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Astro Protocol, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $9.8k against a market of $1.5k. 7 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $9.8k (exactly $9,828) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $18,034) |
| Top 5% | $24k (exactly $23,740) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 7 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Grand Strategy
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Aliens
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Grand Strategy
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 46,884 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Grand Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelikeFair
- + SportsFair
- + RogueliteFair
- + CrimeFair
- + RacingFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot
- + TabletopLong shot
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
Sid Meier's Civilization®: Beyond Earth™ 2014 · $17M 
Galactic Civilizations III 2015 · $7.5M 
Phoenix Point 2020 · $4.0M 
Xenonauts 2014 · $2.9M 
ENDLESS Space™ - Definitive Edition 2012 · $2.0M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sid Meier's Civilization®: Beyond Earth™ | older | $39.99 | 14,047 61% | 421k | $17M (exactly $16,852,186) | Firaxis Games, Aspyr (Mac), Aspyr (Linu… (Firaxis Games, Aspyr (Mac), Aspyr (Linux)) |
| | Galactic Civilizations III | older | $29.99 | 8,337 77% | 250k | $7.5M (exactly $7,500,799) | Stardock Entertainment |
| | Phoenix Point | older | $24.99 | 5,375 73% | 161k | $4.0M (exactly $4,029,637) | Snapshot Games Inc. |
| | Xenonauts | older | $24.99 | 3,815 86% | 114k | $2.9M (exactly $2,860,106) | Goldhawk Interactive |
| | ENDLESS Space™ - Definitive Edition | older | $9.99 | 6,626 79% | 199k | $2.0M (exactly $1,985,812) | AMPLITUDE Studios |
 | Shadow Empire | older | $39.99 | 1,431 82% | 43k | $1.7M (exactly $1,716,771) | VR Designs |
 | Command & Conquer™ 3: Kane’s Wrath | older | $6.96 | 5,499 93% | 165k | $1.1M (exactly $1,148,191) | EA Los Angeles |
 | Polaris Sector | older | $39.99 | 419 70% | 13k | $503k (exactly $502,674) | SoftWarWare |
 | Galactic Civilizations® II: Ultimate Edition | older | $9.99 | 955 80% | 29k | $286k (exactly $286,214) | Stardock Entertainment |
 | The Last Federation | older | $19.99 | 380 72% | 11k | $228k (exactly $227,886) | Arcen Games |
 | Astro Protocol | $11.99 | 66 93% | 2.0k | $24k (exactly $23,740) | Null Vector Studios | |
 | Death row inmates on the run 2--The Resistance | $6.99 | 86 55% | 2.6k | $18k (exactly $18,034) | zzzgame | |
 | Deep Dark Forest | $7.99 | 41 87% | 1.2k | $9.8k (exactly $9,828) | pixiangames | |
 | Attorney Adventure | · EA | $9.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Ambearth Games |
 | Heroes of Higher Realms | $11.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | DreamMasters Studio | |
 | Exodus Frontier: The Last Stand | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Shupernom LTD |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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