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Should I ship an Agriculture City Builder?
City Builder + Agriculture
Of 40 developers who shipped an Agriculture City Builder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.5k, ×5.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $840; 1 in 20 cleared $900k, ×1436 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 64 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $839 (exactly $839) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.5k (exactly $3,466) |
| Top 25% | $36k (exactly $35,526) |
| Top 5% | $902k (exactly $901,949) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 40 |
| Released games | 135 |
| Announced | 64 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- City Builder
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Agriculture
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- City Builder, Agriculture; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Building
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 28,021 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $840. 7 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
City Builder with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelStrong odds
- + LogicFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + RacingLong shot
- + RomePoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + HorrorPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
Farthest Frontier 2025 · $26M 
Captain of Industry 2022 · EA · $12M 
Ostriv 2020 · EA · $5.1M 
Settlement Survival 2022 · $5.0M 
Fabledom 2024 · $4.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Farthest Frontier | $34.99 | 24,444 86% | 733k | $26M (exactly $25,658,867) | Crate Entertainment | |
| | Captain of Industry | · EA older | $34.99 | 11,027 90% | 331k | $12M (exactly $11,575,042) | MaFi Games |
| | Ostriv | · EA older | $24.99 | 6,866 94% | 206k | $5.1M (exactly $5,147,440) | yevhen8 |
| | Settlement Survival | older | $21.49 | 7,703 85% | 231k | $5.0M (exactly $4,966,124) | Gleamer Studio |
| | Fabledom | older | $20.99 | 6,772 85% | 203k | $4.3M (exactly $4,264,328) | Grenaa Games |
 | Littlewood | older | $14.99 | 6,083 93% | 182k | $2.7M (exactly $2,735,525) | Sean Young |
 | Cartel Tycoon | older | $29.99 | 2,822 75% | 85k | $2.5M (exactly $2,538,953) | Moon Moose |
 | Automation Empire | older | $29.99 | 2,584 65% | 78k | $2.3M (exactly $2,324,825) | DOG HOGGLER |
 | Autonauts | older | $19.99 | 3,596 90% | 108k | $2.2M (exactly $2,156,521) | Denki |
 | Thriving City: Song | older | $18.99 | 3,054 81% | 92k | $1.7M (exactly $1,739,864) | White Star Studio |
 | Havendock | $19.99 | 1,504 81% | 45k | $902k (exactly $901,949) | YYZ Studio | |
 | Farm Manager World | $19.99 | 605 68% | 18k | $363k (exactly $362,818) | Cleversan Games | |
 | Japanese Rural Life Adventure | $24.99 | 238 80% | 7.1k | $178k (exactly $178,429) | G-MODE, GAME START LLC | |
 | Rise of Industry 2 | $34.99 | 154 55% | 4.6k | $162k (exactly $161,654) | SomaSim | |
 | Feastopia | $13.99 | 211 77% | 6.3k | $89k (exactly $88,557) | White Star Studio | |
 | Goblin Camp | $19.99 | 118 76% | 3.5k | $71k (exactly $70,765) | Korppi Games Ltd | |
 | Colonize | $9.99 | 192 39% | 5.8k | $58k (exactly $57,542) | Rembrosoft | |
 | Desk Garden | $2.99 | 476 84% | 14k | $43k (exactly $42,697) | Siesta Studio | |
 | Island Paradise | $14.99 | 79 77% | 2.4k | $36k (exactly $35,526) | GSG |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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