Do I ship it?

Games › Driving › Driving + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike Driving game?

Driving + Action Roguelike

Of 31 developers who shipped an Action Roguelike Driving game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 72 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $900k, ×1437 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 72 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 72 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Driving + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $263k → $9.3k → $2.4k → $7.8k → $210 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Driving + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,256)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,258)
Top 5% $902k (exactly $902,174)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 58
Announced 72
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Driving, Action Roguelike; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 5,862 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $900k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 72 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Driving with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair35 devs · median $5.9k · 43 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $5.5k · 18 announced
  4. + Survival HorrorFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  5. + World War IIFair8 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  6. + MusicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 10 announced
  7. + ThrillerFair18 devs · median $2.0k · 21 announced
  8. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  9. + LogicFair30 devs · median $958 · 29 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair26 devs · median $897 · 23 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds82 devs · median $48k · 157 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds24 devs · median $44k · 36 announced

All 130 pairs on the Driving page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Wanderburg 2026 · EA · $946k Carmageddon: Rogue Shift 2026 · $902k TerraTech Legion 2026 · $632k Heading Out 2024 · $383k Maniac 2024 · $263k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wanderburg · EA $14.99 2,103 78% 63k $946k (exactly $945,719) Randwerk
Carmageddon: Rogue Shift $39.99 752 62% 23k $902k (exactly $902,174) 34BigThings srl
TerraTech Legion $9.99 2,109 81% 63k $632k (exactly $632,067) Payload Studios
Heading Out older $19.99 639 74% 19k $383k (exactly $383,208) Serious Sim, Crunching Koalas
Maniac older $4.99 1,754 90% 53k $263k (exactly $262,574) Transhuman Design
Dark Future: Blood Red States (Classic) older $24.99 250 70% 7.5k $187k (exactly $187,425) Auroch Digital
Bloody Rally Show older $19.99 248 89% 7.4k $149k (exactly $148,726) Kodo Linija
VR Sailing $7.99 307 96% 9.2k $74k (exactly $73,588) HFRK.
PAKO 2 older $5.99 398 94% 12k $72k (exactly $71,521) Tree Men Games
Odd Remedy · EA $9.99 159 87% 4.8k $48k (exactly $47,652) Oddscure
Zombie Rollerz: The Last Ship $9.99 139 75% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,658) Zing Games Inc., 紫英互娱
Driveloop: Survivors · EA $9.99 96 76% 2.9k $29k (exactly $28,771) Stunbyte
REDLINE CROOKS $11.99 73 100% 2.2k $26k (exactly $26,258) Alexander Golke
Pest Apocalypse $9.99 75 94% 2.3k $22k (exactly $22,478) Kikimora Games
SCHROTT: Roguelike Racer · EA $12.99 49 91% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,095) Ivy Juice

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.