Do I ship it?

GamesGrand StrategyGrand Strategy + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Grand Strategy?

Grand Strategy + 3D Platformer

Only 12 developers shipped a 3D Platformer Grand Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Heroic Aegisio: Origins, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $240 against a market of $1.5k. 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 20 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Grand Strategy + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $120 → $239 → $210 → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Grand Strategy + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $564 (exactly $564)
Top 5% $6.5k (exactly $6,472)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 42
Announced 20
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Grand Strategy
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Grand Strategy, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 77% positive over 58 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $560, 1 in 20 over $6.4k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Grand Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair18 devs · median $3.3k · 22 announced
  2. + SportsFair21 devs · median $2.1k · 26 announced
  3. + RogueliteFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  4. + CrimeFair8 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  5. + RacingFair8 devs · median $1.8k · 7 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 27 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot21 devs · median $750 · 38 announced
  8. + TabletopLong shot26 devs · median $450 · 26 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $131k · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds59 devs · median $51k · 125 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $37k · 29 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds54 devs · median $34k · 117 announced

All 104 pairs on the Grand Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Age of Navigation older $5.99 164 57% 4.9k $29k (exactly $29,471) Upstream Games
Desert Special Forces older $19.99 20 65% 600 $12k (exactly $11,994) Gamesforgames
Heroic Aegisio: Origins $7.99 27 77% 810 $6.5k (exactly $6,472) Vview Games
World of Retailing · EA older $19.99 6 33% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) MazeDEV, Evoke-Gaming
Maiz older $3.99 18 72% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) Critix Studios
Tap Tap Builder older $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Hippo Games
Explore Dreams: Dreamcore $12.99 5 80% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) Maxwell Play
The Ghost - Task of the Ghost Hunters · EA older $34.99 1 0% 30 $1.1k (exactly $1,050) MS Games and Software UG
Knowledge Domination $0.99 19 78% 570 $564 (exactly $564) Frosy Games
Dice Tech Dominion - Enter the Shadow Circuit $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) AUTeddy
Only for Gamers $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Merhaba Yazılım
Reality Rifts $3.99 2 50% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Infinity Requiem Studio
Investormania · EA $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) NIGHTCREW
Escape the Maze · EA $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Fatih CALISKAN
Oblivion's Gate · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) TTech Studio
Stealth Maker $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) VirtualGameStudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.