Do I ship it?

Games › Arena Shooter › Arena Shooter + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + 3D Platformer

Of 44 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer Arena Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 74 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 20 developers shipped in the last year and 74 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 74 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.4k → $1.3k → $1.1k → $836 → $178 → $359 → $202 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arena Shooter + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $899 (exactly $899)
Top 5% $56k (exactly $56,372)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 153
Announced 74
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, 3D Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 1,084 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $56k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 74 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

BAIONLENJA 2025 · EA · $199k STRIDE: Fates 2024 · $134k Nakara 2026 · $93k ENCHAIN 2026 · EA · $56k Gamble Fight Plus 2019 · $45k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
STRIDE: Fates older $29.99 149 51% 4.5k $134k (exactly $134,055) Joy Way
Nakara $9.99 310 91% 9.3k $93k (exactly $92,907) R3dspike
ENCHAIN · EA $19.99 94 96% 2.8k $56k (exactly $56,372) mattlawrdev
Gamble Fight Plus older $9.99 149 51% 4.5k $45k (exactly $44,655) One Man Army
Diatomic older $9.99 135 76% 4.1k $40k (exactly $40,460) Diatomic Studios
WAIFU IMPACT older $5.99 148 85% 4.4k $27k (exactly $26,596) Mitsuki Game Studio
Femboy Aim Trainer older $0.99 693 92% 21k $21k (exactly $20,582) Seito Games
FMTC $7.00 75 78% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,750) FMTC
TAGLINE older $9.99 52 92% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) NOTH
Void Collector $9.99 30 100% 900 $9.0k (exactly $8,991) Seth Newlin
Lustborn $16.99 13 61% 390 $6.6k (exactly $6,626) ILBB
SkyLeap $11.99 9 100% 270 $3.2k (exactly $3,237) XOCUS
Galatico · EA $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Galatico Studios
SHAKE · EA $2.99 22 100% 660 $2.0k (exactly $1,973) Kyle Furey, Avery Akashian, Miguel Giga… (Kyle Furey, Avery Akashian, Miguel Gigandet)
NOMSTERS $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Igor Yakunin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.