Do I ship it?

GamesWalking SimulatorWalking Simulator + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer Walking Simulator?

Walking Simulator + 2D Platformer

Of 47 developers who shipped a 2D Platformer Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 23 developers shipped in the last year and 47 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 47 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Walking Simulator + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $358 → $2.2k → $1.5k → $598 → $299 → $599 → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Walking Simulator + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,870)
Top 5% $42k (exactly $41,979)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 145
Announced 47
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Walking Simulator, 2D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Platformer, Simulation
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 10,396 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $41k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Walking Simulator with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds13 devs · median $5.8k · 9 announced
  2. + WarFair10 devs · median $5.1k · 12 announced
  3. + RomanceFair36 devs · median $3.5k · 38 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair38 devs · median $2.7k · 25 announced
  5. + ThrillerFair449 devs · median $2.7k · 499 announced
  6. + MusicFair16 devs · median $2.1k · 20 announced
  7. + SupernaturalFair297 devs · median $1.8k · 354 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair1,043 devs · median $1.7k · 1,251 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair442 devs · median $1.7k · 552 announced
  10. + IdlerFair38 devs · median $1.7k · 41 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  12. + NoirFair44 devs · median $1.5k · 52 announced

All 145 pairs on the Walking Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Neva $19.99 9,343 93% 280k $5.6M (exactly $5,602,997) Nomada Studio
Light Up The Town $14.99 715 95% 21k $322k (exactly $321,536) Meadow Studios
GOODBYE WORLD older $11.99 766 84% 23k $276k (exactly $275,530) YO FUJII
Torn Away older $14.99 595 92% 18k $268k (exactly $267,572) perelesoq
Fishing Adventure older $4.99 1,479 85% 44k $221k (exactly $221,406) MasterCode
Koral older $14.99 366 81% 11k $165k (exactly $164,590) Carlos Coronado
The Heroes Around Me older $6.99 691 95% 21k $145k (exactly $144,903) OKJOY
Blue Wednesday older $14.99 181 85% 5.4k $81k (exactly $81,396) Buff Studio
Little Orpheus older $4.99 393 67% 12k $59k (exactly $58,832) The Chinese Room
League Of Enthusiastic Losers older $11.99 161 85% 4.8k $58k (exactly $57,912) yookond.
OFFERING APP $19.99 70 81% 2.1k $42k (exactly $41,979) KESHA WHITE
The End of Gameplay $19.99 37 97% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) droqen
Awakening Sarah $8.99 59 93% 1.8k $16k (exactly $15,912) Asteristic Game Studio, Anthony Septim
I'll be Brave, Tomorrow $11.99 19 100% 570 $6.8k (exactly $6,834) InkForge Studios
Yuremizu: Hold It Through the Shift $4.99 40 97% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Yaminato Aoi, Yamashita
hoptix $7.99 23 100% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) Cat Burglar Games
Thrust 8 $2.99 59 59% 1.8k $5.3k (exactly $5,292) Momentum Games
Teleport Master $4.99 31 96% 930 $4.6k (exactly $4,641) SinPoDo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.