Do I ship it?

GamesStrategyStrategy + 2D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Platformer Strategy game?

Strategy + 2D Platformer

Of 534 developers who shipped a 2D Platformer Strategy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 563 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $200 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 316 developers shipped in the last year and 563 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 563 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy + 2D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 534
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $210 → $239 → $239 → $269 → $239 → $180 (still earning) → $95 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy + 2D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 534
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $200 (exactly $200)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $50k (exactly $50,000)
Developers, 2 yr 534
Released games 1,504
Announced 563
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy, 2D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 33,336 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $200, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $50k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 282 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 563 games are announced against 316 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds50 devs · median $65k · 27 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair62 devs · median $16k · 74 announced
  3. + BaseballFair14 devs · median $7.5k · 7 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Fair89 devs · median $6.7k · 91 announced
  5. + WuxiaFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 41 announced
  6. + FarmingFair44 devs · median $4.3k · 42 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair81 devs · median $3.0k · 94 announced
  8. + SubmarineFair21 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  9. + NavalFair66 devs · median $2.2k · 88 announced
  10. + IdlerFair696 devs · median $1.9k · 988 announced
  11. + Shop KeeperFair159 devs · median $1.8k · 264 announced
  12. + HackingFair96 devs · median $1.2k · 132 announced

All 275 pairs on the Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
觅长生 older $14.99 27,072 93% 812k $12M (exactly $12,174,278) Chalcedony Network
UFO 50 $24.99 7,134 94% 214k $5.3M (exactly $5,348,360) Mossmouth
Braid older $14.99 6,941 93% 208k $3.1M (exactly $3,121,368) Number None
Shelldiver $4.99 16,806 98% 504k $2.5M (exactly $2,515,858) Gagonfe
Cluckmech Oasis older $9.99 3,077 87% 92k $922k (exactly $922,177) BlackLight
再刷一把2:金色传说 $9.99 2,748 44% 82k $824k (exactly $823,576) 滑稽工作室
英雄群侠传II older $11.99 2,103 88% 63k $756k (exactly $756,449) 熊窝dodox
Journey of Realm:Dawn Dew $10.99 2,233 97% 67k $736k (exactly $736,220) 葱色兔兔/Scallion Rabbit
Actraiser Renaissance older $29.99 708 74% 21k $637k (exactly $636,988) Square Enix, Sonic Powered
Shovel Knight Dig older $24.99 822 75% 25k $616k (exactly $616,253) Nitrome, Yacht Club Games
Dinotica $17.99 746 86% 22k $403k (exactly $402,616) XA Studio
The Three Kingdoms: The Tales of Jian An $17.99 690 88% 21k $372k (exactly $372,393) 开翼网络
Trainee Death Simulator $5.99 1,746 92% 52k $314k (exactly $313,756) Bone Nail
緋月仙行錄 $19.99 454 57% 14k $272k (exactly $272,264) 月光草
吞食天地之乱舞三国 $13.99 271 92% 8.1k $114k (exactly $113,739) FC Maker
黯渊崛起:魔灵深渊 $7.30 508 80% 15k $111k (exactly $111,252) 攸缘游戏

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.