Do I ship it?

GamesMoodsText-Based

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Text-Based game?

Text-Based

Of 1,662 developers who shipped a Text-Based game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 2,063 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 1 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×7.6 the market's $120 for a 1 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 2,063 games are announced against 1,101 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 2,063 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Text-Based
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 1,662
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $2.8k → $1.9k → $1.4k → $1.4k → $1.2k → $779 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Text-Based: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 1,662
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,651)
Top 5% $101k (exactly $100,716)
Developers, 2 yr 1,662
Released games 5,045
Announced 2,063
Effort 1 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Text-Based
effort 1 / 10 · high · the game is text and branching logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
1 / 10 · text and UI only
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 50,419 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $900, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 847 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 2,063 games are announced against 1,101 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Text-Based

0 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Text-Based has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD older $15.99 54,053 94% 1.6M $26M (exactly $25,929,224) WSS playground, xemono
Doki Doki Literature Club Plus! older $14.99 30,148 97% 904k $14M (exactly $13,557,556) Team Salvato
Firework older $9.99 41,172 97% 1.2M $12M (exactly $12,339,248) Shiying Studio
Murders on the Yangtze River older $14.99 15,833 96% 475k $7.1M (exactly $7,120,100) OMEGAMES STUDIO
Suzerain older $19.99 10,574 92% 317k $6.3M (exactly $6,341,228) Torpor Games
The Great Ace Attorney Chronicles older $39.99 5,113 93% 153k $6.1M (exactly $6,134,066) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Digimon Survive older $59.99 3,124 78% 94k $5.6M (exactly $5,622,263) HYDE, Inc.
Milk outside a bag of milk outside a bag of milk older $8.99 20,771 96% 623k $5.6M (exactly $5,601,939) Nikita Kryukov
60 Seconds! Reatomized older $9.99 18,362 94% 551k $5.5M (exactly $5,503,091) Robot Gentleman
Citizen Sleeper older $19.99 8,271 92% 248k $5.0M (exactly $4,960,119) Jump Over The Age
Chill with You : Lo-Fi Story $11.99 12,215 98% 366k $4.4M (exactly $4,393,736) Nestopi Inc.
Homicipher $13.99 7,821 96% 235k $3.3M (exactly $3,282,474) 八名木Games
Urban Myth Dissolution Center $17.99 5,930 88% 178k $3.2M (exactly $3,200,421) Hakababunko
The Farmer Was Replaced $9.99 9,116 95% 273k $2.7M (exactly $2,732,065) Timon Herzog
Summer Pockets REFLECTION BLUE $49.99 1,231 91% 37k $1.8M (exactly $1,846,131) VISUAL ARTS/Key
Citizen Sleeper 2: Starward Vector $24.99 2,358 91% 71k $1.8M (exactly $1,767,793) Jump Over The Age
PARANORMASIGHT: The Mermaid's Curse $24.99 2,169 95% 65k $1.6M (exactly $1,626,099) Square Enix
月华辉映之刻 $11.99 4,227 89% 127k $1.5M (exactly $1,520,452) 侠客狗工作室
Love Curse: Find Your Soulmate $14.00 3,275 95% 98k $1.4M (exactly $1,375,500) Xso
Desktop Explorer $17.99 2,077 96% 62k $1.1M (exactly $1,120,957) Recurring Dream

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.