Do I ship it?

GamesMoodsRelaxing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Relaxing game?

Relaxing

Of 5,767 developers who shipped a Relaxing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7,613 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×7.6 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×2021 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 7,613 games are announced against 3,649 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 7,613 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Relaxing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5,767
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $1.7k → $1.5k → $1.2k → $1.1k → $1.1k → $987 (still earning) → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Relaxing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5,767
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,792)
Top 5% $240k (exactly $240,480)
Developers, 2 yr 5,767
Released games 18,260
Announced 7,613
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Relaxing
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 295,599 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $900, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 3,418 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7,613 games are announced against 3,649 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Relaxing

0 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Relaxing has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Euro Truck Simulator 2 older $19.99 756,984 97% 23M $454M (exactly $453,963,305) SCS Software
Stardew Valley older $14.99 894,201 98% 27M $402M (exactly $402,122,190) ConcernedApe
Planet Zoo older $44.99 81,191 90% 2.4M $110M (exactly $109,583,493) Frontier Developments
theHunter: Call of the Wild™ older $19.99 170,472 89% 5.1M $102M (exactly $102,232,058) Expansive Worlds
American Truck Simulator older $19.99 165,692 97% 5.0M $99M (exactly $99,365,492) SCS Software
Cities: Skylines II older $49.99 64,211 57% 1.9M $96M (exactly $96,297,237) Iceflake Studios, Colossal Order
DAVE THE DIVER older $19.99 142,662 96% 4.3M $86M (exactly $85,554,401) MINTROCKET
Planet Coaster older $44.99 59,443 91% 1.8M $80M (exactly $80,230,217) Frontier Developments, Aspyr (Mac)
Balatro older $14.99 160,715 97% 4.8M $72M (exactly $72,273,536) LocalThunk
House Flipper older $24.99 92,333 93% 2.8M $69M (exactly $69,222,050) Empyrean
Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024 $69.99 21,633 59% 649k $45M (exactly $45,422,810) Asobo Studio
Slime Rancher 2 $29.99 43,590 94% 1.3M $39M (exactly $39,217,923) Monomi Park
inZOI · EA $39.99 30,020 77% 901k $36M (exactly $36,014,994) inZOI Studio
Farming Simulator 25 $29.99 39,681 87% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,700,996) GIANTS Software
TCG Card Shop Simulator $19.99 47,357 96% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,399,993) OPNeon Games
Foundation $34.99 23,037 86% 691k $24M (exactly $24,181,939) Polymorph Games
Paralives · EA $39.99 20,123 89% 604k $24M (exactly $24,141,563) Alex Massé and team
Planet Coaster 2 $49.99 13,047 74% 391k $20M (exactly $19,566,586) Frontier Developments
Big Walk $19.99 32,470 95% 974k $19M (exactly $19,472,259) House House
Dinkum $19.99 24,641 92% 739k $15M (exactly $14,777,208) James Bendon

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.