Do I ship it?

GamesMoodsPixel Graphics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Pixel game?

Pixel Graphics

Of 7,429 developers who shipped a Pixel game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11,894 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×6.3 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×1497 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 11,894 games are announced against 4,553 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.3 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 11,894 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Pixel Graphics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7,429
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $1.4k → $1.2k → $1.2k → $1.2k → $898 → $748 (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Pixel Graphics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7,429
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $6.1k (exactly $6,110)
Top 5% $178k (exactly $178,111)
Developers, 2 yr 7,429
Released games 22,985
Announced 11,894
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Pixel Graphics
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 387,935 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $750, 1 in 4 over $6.1k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 4,026 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11,894 games are announced against 4,553 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Pixel Graphics

0 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Pixel Graphics has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stardew Valley older $14.99 894,201 98% 27M $402M (exactly $402,122,190) ConcernedApe
Terraria older $9.99 1,240,388 97% 37M $372M (exactly $371,744,284) Re-Logic
Factorio older $35.00 191,814 97% 5.8M $201M (exactly $201,404,700) Wube Software LTD.
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth older $14.99 415,060 96% 12M $187M (exactly $186,652,482) Nicalis, Inc., Edmund McMillen
Dead Cells older $24.99 156,263 97% 4.7M $117M (exactly $117,150,371) Motion Twin
DELTARUNE $24.99 124,894 98% 3.7M $94M (exactly $93,633,032) tobyfox
Undertale older $9.99 307,601 96% 9.2M $92M (exactly $92,188,020) tobyfox
People Playground older $9.99 298,158 98% 8.9M $89M (exactly $89,357,953) mestiez
DAVE THE DIVER older $19.99 142,662 96% 4.3M $86M (exactly $85,554,401) MINTROCKET
Inscryption older $19.99 135,017 96% 4.1M $81M (exactly $80,969,695) Daniel Mullins Games
Digimon Story Time Stranger $69.99 15,845 89% 475k $33M (exactly $33,269,746) Media.Vision Inc.
Megabonk $9.99 100,202 94% 3.0M $30M (exactly $30,030,539) vedinad
Rhythm Doctor $19.99 25,021 98% 751k $15M (exactly $15,005,094) 7th Beat Games
Fields of Mistria $13.99 31,918 96% 958k $13M (exactly $13,395,985) NPC Studio
BALL x PIT $14.99 24,714 95% 741k $11M (exactly $11,113,886) Kenny Sun and Friends
Necesse $14.99 24,425 93% 733k $11M (exactly $10,983,922) Fair Games ApS
Shadows of Doubt $24.99 14,646 82% 439k $11M (exactly $10,980,106) ColePowered Games
Caves of Qud $29.99 11,892 94% 357k $11M (exactly $10,699,232) Freehold Games
ZERO Sievert $19.99 14,378 84% 431k $8.6M (exactly $8,622,487) CABO Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.