Do I ship it?

GamesMoodsParody

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Parody game?

Parody

Of 398 developers who shipped a Parody game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 542 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×9.8 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×1715 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 542 games are announced against 243 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 542 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parody
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 398
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $1.4k → $2.1k → $2.7k → $1.9k → $1.0k → $1.2k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parody: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 398
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Top 25% $8.4k (exactly $8,361)
Top 5% $204k (exactly $204,139)
Developers, 2 yr 398
Released games 1,281
Announced 542
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parody
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 29,410 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $8.3k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 222 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 542 games are announced against 243 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Parody

0 pairs · ranked by verdict, then medianwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Parody has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Saints Row IV: Re-Elected older $19.99 57,525 87% 1.7M $34M (exactly $34,497,742) Deep Silver Volition
The Henry Stickmin Collection older $14.99 55,826 98% 1.7M $25M (exactly $25,104,952) PuffballsUnited
LEGO® Batman™: Legacy of the Dark Knight $69.99 8,728 95% 262k $18M (exactly $18,326,182) TT Games
There Is No Game: Wrong Dimension older $12.99 24,144 97% 724k $9.4M (exactly $9,408,917) Draw Me A Pixel
Far Cry 3 - Blood Dragon older $14.99 18,356 87% 551k $8.3M (exactly $8,254,693) Ubisoft Montreal
Viscera Cleanup Detail older $12.99 18,053 92% 542k $7.0M (exactly $7,035,254) RuneStorm
POSTAL 4: No Regerts older $19.99 10,855 67% 326k $6.5M (exactly $6,509,743) Running With Scissors
Saints Row older $29.99 5,765 61% 173k $5.2M (exactly $5,186,770) Volition
Trombone Champ older $14.99 10,327 98% 310k $4.6M (exactly $4,644,052) Holy Wow Studios LLC
Epic Battle Fantasy 5 older $24.99 5,647 98% 169k $4.2M (exactly $4,233,556) Matt Roszak
Lucky Tower Ultimate $14.99 2,281 94% 68k $1.0M (exactly $1,025,766) Studio Seufz
Monster Prom 4: Monster Con $14.99 1,892 98% 57k $851k (exactly $850,832) Beautiful Glitch
Guilty as Sock! $5.50 4,836 89% 145k $798k (exactly $797,940) Demon Max
Bookshop Simulator $15.99 1,496 92% 45k $718k (exactly $717,631) Blep Games
How to Make an Atomic Bomb in Your Garden $11.69 2,008 89% 60k $704k (exactly $704,206) karahan
Fever Meme $4.20 4,358 91% 131k $549k (exactly $549,108) Aimbok
420BLAZEIT 2: GAME OF THE YEAR -=Dank Dreams and Goated Memes=- [#wow/11 Like and Subscribe] Poggerz Edition $10.99 1,546 98% 46k $510k (exactly $509,716) Normal Wholesome Games
Big Helmet Heroes $24.99 678 78% 20k $508k (exactly $508,297) Exalted Studio
Anomalous Coffee Machine $9.99 1,587 86% 48k $476k (exactly $475,624) HoruBrain Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.