Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsMini Golf

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mini Golf game?

Mini Golf

Of 52 developers who shipped a Mini Golf game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 71 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×2.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $58k, ×123 the market median. Revenue is up 105% on the market; 71 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 105% on the market, 71 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mini Golf
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 52
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $657 → $2.4k → $2.2k → $1.0k → $836 → $958 (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mini Golf: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 52
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $58k (exactly $58,487)
Developers, 2 yr 52
Released games 179
Announced 71
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 105% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mini Golf
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Mini Golf
Price point
$5.50 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.50.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 26,063 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $960, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 71 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Mini Golf

0 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Mini Golf has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Golf With Your Friends older $14.99 50,748 88% 1.5M $23M (exactly $22,821,376) Blacklight Interactive, Team17
Tower Unite $19.99 16,237 89% 487k $9.7M (exactly $9,737,329) PixelTail Games
Golf It! older $8.99 24,695 90% 741k $6.7M (exactly $6,660,242) Perfuse Entertainment
Super Battle Golf $12.99 9,325 93% 280k $3.6M (exactly $3,633,952) Brimstone
WHAT THE GOLF? older $19.99 4,324 93% 130k $2.6M (exactly $2,593,103) Triband
Walkabout Mini Golf VR older $24.99 3,094 97% 93k $2.3M (exactly $2,319,572) Mighty Coconut
4D Golf older $19.99 775 98% 23k $465k (exactly $464,767) CodeParade
GolfTopia older $19.99 477 95% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) MinMax Games Ltd.
Golf Around! older $9.99 823 94% 25k $247k (exactly $246,653) Hough Studio
Golf Gang older $9.99 782 84% 23k $234k (exactly $234,365) Lazy Monday Games
Puttler $7.99 244 95% 7.3k $58k (exactly $58,487) Bean Juice Studios
Up to Par $19.99 49 73% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) It's Anecdotal
Mini Mini Golf Golf $9.99 65 87% 2.0k $19k (exactly $19,480) Three More Years
Golf Gambit · EA $9.99 28 85% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) KB Entertainment
Putt Down $6.99 26 65% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) Icehelm
PULLBACK RACERS $3.99 39 94% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) SkyBrave, blazitt, Gevizz
Sling-A-Thing $5.50 26 100% 780 $4.3k (exactly $4,290) Navel
Tilt It! Golf $4.99 24 87% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Kautki Cave

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.