Do I ship it?

GamesMoodsGore

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gory game?

Gore

Of 1,381 developers who shipped a Gory game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 2,706 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $910k, ×1458 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 2,706 games are announced against 832 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 2,706 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Gore
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 1,381
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.9k → $3.9k → $3.9k → $2.3k → $2.2k → $2.2k → $1.4k (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Gore: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 1,381
Bottom 30% $447 (exactly $447)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,791)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,941)
Top 5% $915k (exactly $915,384)
Developers, 2 yr 1,381
Released games 6,036
Announced 2,706
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Gore
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $23.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $23.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 589,235 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $910k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 697 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 2,706 games are announced against 832 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Gore

0 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Gore has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Red Dead Redemption 2 older $59.99 846,270 92% 25M $1.5B (exactly $1,523,032,119) Rockstar Games
HELLDIVERS™ 2 older $39.99 838,901 76% 25M $1.0B (exactly $1,006,429,530) Arrowhead Game Studios
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition older $59.99 259,508 95% 7.8M $467M (exactly $467,036,548) FromSoftware, Inc.
Dead by Daylight older $19.99 685,423 78% 21M $411M (exactly $411,048,173) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
Ready or Not older $49.99 265,219 79% 8.0M $398M (exactly $397,748,934) VOID Interactive
The Forest older $19.99 581,431 95% 17M $349M (exactly $348,684,171) Endnight Games Ltd
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2 older $59.99 168,628 84% 5.1M $303M (exactly $303,479,812) Saber Interactive
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition older $59.99 164,914 79% 4.9M $297M (exactly $296,795,726) Techland
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III older $59.99 157,694 88% 4.7M $284M (exactly $283,801,892) Treyarch, Aspyr (Mac)
Dying Light older $24.99 373,413 95% 11M $280M (exactly $279,947,726) Techland
Crimson Desert Enhanced $69.99 115,056 83% 3.5M $242M (exactly $241,583,083) Pearl Abyss
Resident Evil Requiem $69.99 106,931 95% 3.2M $225M (exactly $224,523,021) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
SCUM $44.99 98,554 74% 3.0M $133M (exactly $133,018,334) Gamepires
Dying Light: The Beast $59.99 59,318 87% 1.8M $107M (exactly $106,754,605) Techland
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered $49.99 59,690 76% 1.8M $90M (exactly $89,517,093) Bethesda Game Studios, Virtuos
WUCHANG: Fallen Feathers $49.99 44,865 58% 1.3M $67M (exactly $67,284,040) Leenzee
God of War Ragnarök $59.99 32,502 89% 975k $58M (exactly $58,493,849) Santa Monica Studio, Jetpack Interactive
DOOM: The Dark Ages $49.99 32,209 88% 966k $48M (exactly $48,303,837) id Software
SILENT HILL f $69.99 19,061 80% 572k $40M (exactly $40,022,382) NeoBards Entertainment Ltd.
The First Berserker: Khazan $59.99 21,049 85% 631k $38M (exactly $37,881,885) Neople

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.