Do I ship it?

GamesMoodsFast-Paced

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fast-Paced game?

Fast-Paced

Of 526 developers who shipped a Fast-Paced game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 860 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $530k, ×1121 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 860 games are announced against 320 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 860 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Fast-Paced
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 526
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $4.2k → $2.9k → $5.1k → $1.9k → $1.8k → $1.2k (still earning) → $360 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Fast-Paced: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 526
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Top 25% $9.4k (exactly $9,352)
Top 5% $532k (exactly $532,287)
Developers, 2 yr 526
Released games 2,454
Announced 860
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.66

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Fast-Paced
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Price point
$6.66 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.66.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 107,667 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $9.3k, 1 in 20 over $530k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 255 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 860 games are announced against 320 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Fast-Paced

0 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Fast-Paced has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Titanfall® 2 older $29.99 255,050 95% 7.7M $229M (exactly $229,468,485) Respawn Entertainment
ULTRAKILL · EA older $29.99 213,450 97% 6.4M $192M (exactly $192,040,965) Arsi "Hakita" Patala
DOOM Eternal older $29.99 187,483 91% 5.6M $169M (exactly $168,678,455) id Software
ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™ older $59.99 66,987 91% 2.0M $121M (exactly $120,556,504) FromSoftware, Inc.
DOOM older $19.99 155,340 95% 4.7M $93M (exactly $93,157,398) id Software
METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE older $29.99 69,104 96% 2.1M $62M (exactly $62,172,869) PlatinumGames
Bodycam · EA older $33.32 60,179 80% 1.8M $60M (exactly $60,154,928) Reissad Studio
Gunfire Reborn older $19.99 88,536 93% 2.7M $53M (exactly $53,095,039) Gunfire Reborn Studio
DOOM: The Dark Ages $49.99 32,209 88% 966k $48M (exactly $48,303,837) id Software
Ghostrunner older $29.99 46,818 91% 1.4M $42M (exactly $42,122,155) One More Level, 3D Realms, Slipgate Iro… (One More Level, 3D Realms, Slipgate Ironworks™, All in! Games)
SONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS $49.99 12,178 96% 365k $18M (exactly $18,263,347) Sonic Team
NINJA GAIDEN 4 $69.99 8,459 88% 254k $18M (exactly $17,761,362) PlatinumGames Inc. / Team NINJA / KOEI… (PlatinumGames Inc. / Team NINJA / KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.)
Deep Rock Galactic: Rogue Core · EA $29.99 14,049 60% 421k $13M (exactly $12,639,885) Ghost Ship Games
Haste $19.99 12,690 92% 381k $7.6M (exactly $7,610,193) Landfall
Windblown · EA $24.99 9,066 88% 272k $6.8M (exactly $6,796,780) Motion Twin
Rivals of Aether II $29.99 6,980 78% 209k $6.3M (exactly $6,279,906) Aether Studios
Romantic Escapades $19.99 5,587 94% 168k $3.4M (exactly $3,350,524) 蠑螈
ANTONBLAST $19.99 3,943 95% 118k $2.4M (exactly $2,364,617) Summitsphere
VOID/BREAKER · EA $29.99 2,506 91% 75k $2.3M (exactly $2,254,648) Stubby Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.