Do I ship it?

GamesMoodsDialogue Heavy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dialogue-Heavy game?

Dialogue Heavy

Of 1,283 developers who shipped a Dialogue-Heavy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 2,524 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×4.4 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×518 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 2,524 games are announced against 770 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.4 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 2,524 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dialogue Heavy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 1,283
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.2k → $3.7k → $2.4k → $3.1k → $2.7k → $2.5k → $1.9k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dialogue Heavy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 1,283
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,098)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,491)
Top 5% $246k (exactly $245,902)
Developers, 2 yr 1,283
Released games 3,556
Announced 2,524
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dialogue Heavy
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 238,629 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 722 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 2,524 games are announced against 770 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Dialogue Heavy

0 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Dialogue Heavy has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
A Way Out older $29.99 78,174 87% 2.3M $70M (exactly $70,333,148) Hazelight Studios
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series older $49.99 36,594 96% 1.1M $55M (exactly $54,880,022) Skybound Games
MiSide $14.99 122,007 97% 3.7M $55M (exactly $54,866,548) AIHASTO
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy older $29.99 35,628 97% 1.1M $32M (exactly $32,054,512) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD older $15.99 54,053 94% 1.6M $26M (exactly $25,929,224) WSS playground, xemono
Big Walk $19.99 32,470 95% 974k $19M (exactly $19,472,259) House House
Doki Doki Literature Club Plus! older $14.99 30,148 97% 904k $14M (exactly $13,557,556) Team Salvato
Firework older $9.99 41,172 97% 1.2M $12M (exactly $12,339,248) Shiying Studio
Night in the Woods older $19.99 17,760 94% 533k $11M (exactly $10,650,672) Infinite Fall
Car For Sale Simulator $16.99 20,229 78% 607k $10M (exactly $10,310,721) Red Axe Games
Lost Records: Bloom & Rage $39.99 5,873 86% 176k $7.0M (exactly $7,045,838) DON'T NOD
Little Witch in the Woods $19.99 11,691 89% 351k $7.0M (exactly $7,011,093) SUNNY SIDE UP
Car Dealer Simulator $19.99 9,831 88% 295k $5.9M (exactly $5,895,651) Garage Monkeys
ReStory: Chill Electronics Repairs $19.99 9,209 95% 276k $5.5M (exactly $5,522,637) Mandragora
UNBEATABLE $27.99 6,552 92% 197k $5.5M (exactly $5,501,714) D-CELL GAMES
LOCKDOWN Protocol $9.99 16,605 86% 498k $5.0M (exactly $4,976,518) Mirage Creative Lab
Star Trek: Voyager - Across the Unknown $34.99 4,162 79% 125k $4.4M (exactly $4,368,851) Gamexcite

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.