Do I ship it?

GamesMoodsDark Humor

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dark-Humor game?

Dark Humor

Of 1,201 developers who shipped a Dark-Humor game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1,974 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×3.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×569 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 1,974 games are announced against 720 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 1,974 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dark Humor
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 1,201
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.9k → $5.0k → $3.2k → $3.5k → $2.5k → $2.4k → $1.6k (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dark Humor: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 1,201
Bottom 30% $416 (exactly $416)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,184)
Top 5% $270k (exactly $270,087)
Developers, 2 yr 1,201
Released games 3,295
Announced 1,974
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.19

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dark Humor
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Price point
$6.19 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $6.19.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 175,918 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 7 in 10 of the 589 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1,974 games are announced against 720 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Dark Humor

0 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Dark Humor has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Borderlands 2 older $19.99 210,364 89% 6.3M $126M (exactly $126,155,291) Gearbox Software, Aspyr (Mac), Aspyr (L… (Gearbox Software, Aspyr (Mac), Aspyr (Linux))
Portal 2 older $9.99 390,412 98% 12M $117M (exactly $117,006,476) Valve
The Outlast Trials older $39.99 90,997 92% 2.7M $109M (exactly $109,169,101) Red Barrels
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition older $19.99 180,637 83% 5.4M $108M (exactly $108,328,009) Rockstar North, Rockstar Toronto
Cult of the Lamb older $24.99 112,096 95% 3.4M $84M (exactly $84,038,371) Massive Monster
South Park™: The Stick of Truth™ older $29.99 60,770 97% 1.8M $55M (exactly $54,674,769) Obsidian Entertainment
Portal older $9.99 173,594 98% 5.2M $52M (exactly $52,026,122) Valve
Noita older $19.99 81,149 95% 2.4M $49M (exactly $48,665,055) Nolla Games
Mewgenics $29.99 49,996 89% 1.5M $45M (exactly $44,981,401) Edmund McMillen, Tyler Glaiel
PAYDAY 3 older $29.99 49,305 45% 1.5M $44M (exactly $44,359,708) Starbreeze Studios
Sultan's Game $24.99 25,061 93% 752k $19M (exactly $18,788,232) Double Cross
Mouthwashing $12.99 34,353 95% 1.0M $13M (exactly $13,387,364) Wrong Organ
The Hundred Line -Last Defense Academy- $59.99 6,893 88% 207k $12M (exactly $12,405,332) Too Kyo Games, Media.Vision Inc.
CloverPit $9.99 24,710 90% 741k $7.4M (exactly $7,405,587) Panik Arcade
SULFUR · EA $24.99 9,641 87% 289k $7.2M (exactly $7,227,858) Perfect Random
Quarantine Zone: The Last Check $19.99 11,827 81% 355k $7.1M (exactly $7,092,652) Brigada Games
Cash Cleaner Simulator $19.99 7,334 92% 220k $4.4M (exactly $4,398,200) Mind Control Games
HENPRI $24.99 3,903 96% 117k $2.9M (exactly $2,926,079) Qruppo
High On Life 2 $39.99 2,200 71% 66k $2.6M (exactly $2,639,340) Squanch Games, Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.