Do I ship it?

GamesMoodsDark Comedy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dark-Comedy game?

Dark Comedy

Of 512 developers who shipped a Dark-Comedy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 918 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×529 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 918 games are announced against 307 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 918 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dark Comedy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 512
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.2k → $3.8k → $4.5k → $3.6k → $1.5k → $2.9k → $1.9k (still earning) → $718 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dark Comedy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 512
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,261)
Top 5% $251k (exactly $251,496)
Developers, 2 yr 512
Released games 1,549
Announced 918
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dark Comedy
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 36,933 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 258 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 918 games are announced against 307 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Dark Comedy

0 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Dark Comedy has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fallout 76 older $39.99 78,346 74% 2.4M $94M (exactly $93,991,696) Bethesda Game Studios
POSTAL 2 older $9.99 117,648 96% 3.5M $35M (exactly $35,259,106) Running With Scissors
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony older $39.99 21,978 82% 659k $26M (exactly $26,367,007) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Killing Floor older $19.99 39,850 95% 1.2M $24M (exactly $23,898,045) Tripwire Interactive
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc older $19.99 36,194 96% 1.1M $22M (exactly $21,705,542) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd., Abstraction G… (Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd., Abstraction Games)
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair older $19.99 30,961 95% 929k $19M (exactly $18,567,312) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd., Abstraction G… (Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd., Abstraction Games)
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley · EA older $11.99 36,603 96% 1.1M $13M (exactly $13,166,099) Kit9 Studio
The Hundred Line -Last Defense Academy- $59.99 6,893 88% 207k $12M (exactly $12,405,332) Too Kyo Games, Media.Vision Inc.
Drug Dealer Simulator older $19.99 18,297 85% 549k $11M (exactly $10,972,711) Byterunners
Not For Broadcast older $24.99 10,337 94% 310k $7.7M (exactly $7,749,649) NotGames
Dead Rising Deluxe Remaster $49.99 2,971 80% 89k $4.5M (exactly $4,455,609) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
ZERO PARADES: For Dead Spies $39.99 2,911 83% 87k $3.5M (exactly $3,492,327) ZA/UM
HENPRI $24.99 3,903 96% 117k $2.9M (exactly $2,926,079) Qruppo
Get To Work $12.99 3,456 88% 104k $1.3M (exactly $1,346,803) Isto Inc.
The Break-In $19.99 2,040 87% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388) jorgen games Ltd, Oliver Josh
BRAZILIAN DRUG DEALER 3: I OPENED A PORTAL TO HELL IN THE FAVELA TRYING TO REVIVE MIT AIA I NEED TO CLOSE IT $4.99 7,743 97% 232k $1.2M (exactly $1,159,127) Joeveno
Kindergarten 3 $19.99 1,774 94% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,063,868) Con Man Games, Sean Young
Class of '09: The Flip Side $9.99 3,356 57% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,005,793) SBN3
Finding Frankie $14.99 1,886 90% 57k $848k (exactly $848,134) SUPERLOU

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.