Should I ship a Cycling game?
Cycling
Of 36 developers who shipped a Cycling game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 56 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $440k, ×702 the market median. Revenue is up 555% on the market; 56 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $239 (exactly $239) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) |
| Top 25% | $28k (exactly $27,805) |
| Top 5% | $441k (exactly $440,779) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 36 |
| Released games | 127 |
| Announced | 56 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 555% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Cycling
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Cycling
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 3,394 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 56 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
All pairs with Cycling
No pair with Cycling has 25 games yet.
Comparable games
Riders Republic 2023 · $37M 
Descenders 2019 · $15M 
Lonely Mountains: Downhill 2019 · $1.6M 
MAVRIX by Matt Jones 2026 · $1.2M 
Gym Simulator 24 2024 · $986k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Riders Republic | older | $39.99 | 30,458 81% | 914k | $37M (exactly $36,540,463) | Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Kyiv, Ubisoft Pune, Ubisoft Odesa) |
| | Descenders | older | $24.99 | 19,836 95% | 595k | $15M (exactly $14,871,049) | RageSquid |
| | Lonely Mountains: Downhill | older | $19.99 | 2,741 89% | 82k | $1.6M (exactly $1,643,778) | Megagon Industries |
| | MAVRIX by Matt Jones | $39.99 | 969 80% | 29k | $1.2M (exactly $1,162,509) | Third Kind Games | |
| | Gym Simulator 24 | older | $12.99 | 2,531 84% | 76k | $986k (exactly $986,331) | Red Axe Games |
 | Pro Cycling Manager 25 | $39.99 | 496 75% | 15k | $595k (exactly $595,051) | Cyanide Studio | |
 | Pro Cycling Manager 2022 | older | $39.99 | 433 85% | 13k | $519k (exactly $519,470) | Cyanide Studio |
 | Monster Energy Supercross - The Official Videogame | older | $19.99 | 817 84% | 25k | $490k (exactly $489,955) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | Pro Cycling Manager 2023 | older | $39.99 | 388 74% | 12k | $465k (exactly $465,484) | Cyanide Studio |
 | Wheel World | $19.99 | 735 90% | 22k | $441k (exactly $440,779) | Messhof | |
 | Tour de France 2025 | $39.99 | 182 77% | 5.5k | $218k (exactly $218,345) | Cyanide Studio | |
 | Streetdog BMX | $24.99 | 196 94% | 5.9k | $147k (exactly $146,941) | Yeah Us! Games | |
 | Pro Cycling Manager 26 | $39.99 | 116 65% | 3.5k | $139k (exactly $139,165) | Cyanide Studio | |
 | VMX | · EA | $14.99 | 229 89% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Break Free Interactive |
 | Tour de France 2026 | $39.99 | 64 75% | 1.9k | $77k (exactly $76,781) | Cyanide Studios | |
 | Motorcycle Night Ride | · EA | $5.99 | 213 76% | 6.4k | $38k (exactly $38,276) | Suber Game Studio, Room Games |
 | Unicycle Together | $4.99 | 194 89% | 5.8k | $29k (exactly $29,042) | Eneskp, Yusuf Demirhan |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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