Do I ship it?

GamesMoodsComedy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Comedy game?

Comedy

Of 3,045 developers who shipped a Comedy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4,946 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $340; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×563 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 4,946 games are announced against 1,886 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 4,946 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Comedy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 3,045
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $3.7k → $2.8k → $1.9k → $1.8k → $1.7k → $1.6k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Comedy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 3,045
Bottom 30% $334 (exactly $334)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,468)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,531)
Top 5% $267k (exactly $267,466)
Developers, 2 yr 3,045
Released games 10,353
Announced 4,946
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Comedy
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 1,351,554 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $340, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $340. 8 in 10 of the 1,676 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 4,946 games are announced against 1,886 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Comedy

0 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any

No pair with Comedy has 25 games yet.

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
HELLDIVERS™ 2 older $39.99 838,901 76% 25M $1.0B (exactly $1,006,429,530) Arrowhead Game Studios
Dead by Daylight older $19.99 685,423 78% 21M $411M (exactly $411,048,173) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
Garry's Mod older $9.99 1,093,131 96% 33M $328M (exactly $327,611,361) Facepunch Studios
Borderlands 3 older $59.99 127,847 81% 3.8M $230M (exactly $230,086,246) Gearbox Software
Grand Theft Auto V Enhanced $29.99 210,784 83% 6.3M $190M (exactly $189,642,365) Rockstar North
Dispatch $29.99 174,624 97% 5.2M $157M (exactly $157,109,213) AdHoc Studio
Kerbal Space Program older $39.99 120,656 95% 3.6M $145M (exactly $144,751,003) Squad
Borderlands 2 older $19.99 210,364 89% 6.3M $126M (exactly $126,155,291) Gearbox Software, Aspyr (Mac), Aspyr (L… (Gearbox Software, Aspyr (Mac), Aspyr (Linux))
Portal 2 older $9.99 390,412 98% 12M $117M (exactly $117,006,476) Valve
Human Fall Flat older $19.99 174,835 94% 5.2M $105M (exactly $104,848,549) No Brakes Games
R.E.P.O. · EA $9.99 341,004 96% 10M $102M (exactly $102,198,899) semiwork
DELTARUNE $24.99 124,894 98% 3.7M $94M (exactly $93,633,032) tobyfox
PEAK $7.99 301,964 94% 9.1M $72M (exactly $72,380,771) Team PEAK
My Summer Car $14.99 108,503 94% 3.3M $49M (exactly $48,793,799) Amistech Games
STAR WARS Zero Company™ $49.99 19,521 82% 586k $29M (exactly $29,275,644) Bit Reactor
Far Far West · EA $19.99 31,458 95% 944k $19M (exactly $18,865,363) Evil Raptor
Subverse $39.99 13,781 66% 413k $17M (exactly $16,533,066) Studio FOW Interactive
Rhythm Doctor $19.99 25,021 98% 751k $15M (exactly $15,005,094) 7th Beat Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.